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An estimate of the net direction of climate interactions in different geographical regions is made by constructing a directed climate network from a regular latitude-longitude grid of nodes, using a directionality index (DI) based on…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-23 J. Ignacio Deza , Cristina Masoller , Marcelo Barreiro

With the recent increase in deforestation, forest fires, and regional temperatures, the concerns around the rapid and complete collapse of the Amazon rainforest ecosystem have heightened. The thresholds of deforestation and the temperature…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Adam Giammarese , Jacob Brown , Nishant Malik

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the dominant mode of atmospheric variability over the North Atlantic sector, influencing temperature and precipitation across Europe. While the NAO's impact on North Atlantic sea surface temperatures…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Elena Provenzano , Guillaume Gastineau , Carlos Mejia , Didier Swingedouw , Sylvie Thiria

The persistence of the global climate system is critical for assuring the sustainability of the natural ecosystem and the further development of the prosperity of socio-economics. In this paper, we develop a framework and analyze the time…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-27 Ting Qing , Fan Wang , Qiuyue Li , Gaogao Dong , Lixin Tian , Shlomo Havlin

There has been intense debate about the causes of the 1997-1998 El Nino. One side sees the obvious intense westerly wind events as the main cause for the exceptional heating in summer 1997, the other emphasizes slower oceanic processes. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Geert Jan van Oldenborgh

We use the Global Historical Climatology Network--daily database to calculate a nonparametric statistic that describes the rate at which all-time daily high and low temperature records have been set in nine geographic regions (continents or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-16 J. M. Finkel , J. I. Katz

Complex network theory provides an important tool for the analysis of complex systems such as the Earth's climate. In this context, functional climate networks can be constructed using a spatiotemporal climate dataset and a suitable time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-09-22 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Nicole C. R. Ferreira , Elbert E. N. Macau , Reik V. Donner

Understanding the causes and consequences of, and devising countermeasures to, global warming is a profoundly complex problem. Network representations are sometimes the only way forward, and sometimes able to reduce the complexity of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-30 Petter Holme , Juan C. Rocha

A signature of El Nino-Southern Oscillation is found in the historical dataset of the Alaskan Tanana river breakups where the average ice breaking day is found to anticipate of about 3.4 days when conditioned over El Nino years. This…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-04-21 G. Boffetta

Spatiotemporal variations in thunderstorm occurrence frequency are considered here using an environmental dataset derived from ERA5 reanalysis data. Interannual variability in the thunderstorm environments is examined for the period…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 Andrew Dowdy , Andrew Brown , Todd Lane , Mateusz Taszarek

Understanding current global climate requires an understanding of trends both in Earth's atmospheric temperature and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a characteristic large-scale distribution of warm water in the tropical Pacific…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-02-27 L. M. W. Leggett , D. A. Ball

The connectivity pattern of networks, which are based on a correlation between ground level temperature time series, shows a dominant dense stripe of links in the southern ocean. We show that statistical categorization of these links yields…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Yang Wang , Avi Gozolchiani , Yosef Ashkenazy , Yehiel Berezin , Oded Guez , Shlomo Havlin

Extratropical storms shape midlatitude weather and vary due to the slowly evolving climate and the rapid changes in synoptic conditions. While the influence of each factor has been studied extensively, their relative importance remains…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

The increasing frequency of global climate extremes has significantly impacted the terrestrial carbon cycle. Extreme weather events such as heatwaves, droughts, and extreme precipitation pose serious threats to ecosystem carbon…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-05-28 Haiyang Shi

Universal role of the nonlinear one-third subharmonic resonance mechanism in generation of the strong fluctuations in such complex natural dynamical systems as global climate and global solar activity is discussed using wavelet regression…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-11-28 A. Bershadskii

Climate change is affecting and will increasingly affect astronomical observations. In this paper, we investigated the role some key weather parameters play in the quality of astronomical observations, and analysed their long-term trends…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-25 Faustine Cantalloube , Julien Milli , Christoph Böhm , Susanne Crewell , Julio Navarrete , Kira Rehfeld , Marc Sarazin , Anna Sommani

We consider a highly idealized model for El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability, as introduced in an earlier paper. The model is governed by a delay differential equation for sea surface temperature in the Tropical Pacific, and it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-01-13 Ilya Zaliapin , Michael Ghil

Models of global climate phenomena of low to intermediate complexity are very useful for providing an understanding at a conceptual level. An important aspect of such models is the presence of a number of feedback loops that feature…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Bernd Krauskopf , Jan Sieber

The skill of seasonal precipitation forecasts is assessed worldwide -grid point by grid point- for the forty-years period 1961-2000. To this aim, the ENSEMBLES multi-model hindcast is considered. Although predictability varies with region,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-04-20 R. Manzanas , M. D. Frías , A. S. Cofiño , J. M. Gutiérrez

Complex network theory provides an elegant and powerful framework to statistically investigate different types of systems such as society, brain or the structure of local and long-range dynamical interrelationships in the climate system.…