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Using lightning strikes as an example, two possible schemes are discussed for the attribution of changes in event frequency to climate change, and estimating the cost associated with them. The schemes determine the fraction of events that…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-21 Anthony J. Webster

We study a model of a multi-species ecosystem described by Lotka-Volterra-like equations. Interactions among species form a network whose evolution is determined by the dynamics of the model. Numerical simulations show power-law…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Francois Coppex , Michel Droz , Adam Lipowski

The climate system is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex and heterogeneous system that is out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of motion, in time as well as space, and it is subject…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini

The emergence of oscillations in models of the El-Ni\~no effect is of utmost relevance. Here we investigate a coupled nonlinear delay differential system modeling theEl-Ni\~no/ Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, which arises through…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-05-24 Chandrakala Meena , Shweta Kumari , Akansha Sharma , Sudeshna Sinha

The impact of meteorological observations on weather forecasting varies with sensor type, location, time, and other environmental factors. Thus, quantitative analysis of observation impacts is crucial for effective and efficient development…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Hyeon-Ju Jeon , Jeon-Ho Kang , In-Hyuk Kwon , O-Joun Lee

The north Indian Ocean accounts for 6% of the global tropical cyclones annually. Despite the small fraction of cyclones, some of the most devastating cyclones have formed in this basin, causing extensive damage to the life and property in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-17 Vineet Kumar Singh , M K Roxy

Using artificial neural network for the prediction of heat demand has attracted more and more attention. Weather conditions, such as ambient temperature, wind speed and direct solar irradiance, have been identified as key input parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Jiyang Xie , Zhanyu Ma , Jun Guo

Climate risk assessments must account for a wide range of possible futures, so scientists often use simulations made by numerous global climate models to explore potential changes in regional climates and their impacts. Some of the…

The influence of climate variability and global warming on the occurrence of tropical cyclones (TC) is a controversial issue. Existing historical databases on the subject are not fully reliable, but a more fundamental hindrance is the lack…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-10-02 Albert Osso , Alvaro Corral , J. E. Llebot

Many papers and monographs were written about the modeling the Earth climate and its variability. However there is still an obvious need for a module that presents the fundamentals of climate modeling to students at the undergraduate level.…

Popular Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Mayer Humi

The climate system's nonlinear dynamics is influenced by various external forcings and internal feedbacks that can give rise to regional and even global tipping points that may lead to significant and potentially irreversible changes.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Erik Chavez , Jan Rombouts , Michael Ghil

Networks embedded in space can display all sorts of transitions when their structure is modified. The nature of these transitions (and in some cases crossovers) can differ from the usual appearance of a giant component as observed for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-19 Marc Barthelemy

Complex systems such as ecological communities and neuron networks are essential parts of our everyday lives. These systems are composed of units which interact through intricate networks. The ability to predict sudden changes in the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-07-07 Deniz Eroglu , Matteo Tanzi , Sebastian van Strien , Tiago Pereira

We build a conceptual coupled model of the climate and tidal evolution of the Earth-Moon system to find the influence of the former on the latter. An energy balance model is applied to calculate steady-state temperature field from the mean…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Nan Wang , Zhi-Guo He

Understanding the interactions between the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is essential to studying climate variabilities and predicting extreme weather events. Here, we develop a stochastic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-11 Charlotte Moser , Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

Temporary changes in precipitation may lead to sustained and severe drought or massive floods in different parts of the world. Knowing variation in precipitation can effectively help the water resources decision-makers in water resources…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-28 Majid Dehghani , Somayeh Salehi , Amir Mosavi , Narjes Nabipour , Shahaboddin Shamshirband , Pedram Ghamisi

Recently, the study of the influence of solar activity on the Earth's climate received strong attention, mainly due to the possibility, proposed by several authors, that global warming is not anthropogenic, but is due to an increase in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-10-11 P. J. D. Mauas , A. P. Buccino , E. Flamenco

How strong are quantitative contributions of the key natural modes of climate variability and the anthropogenic factor characterized by the changes of the radiative forcing of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to the trends of the surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-03 I. I. Mokhov , D. A. Smirnov

The rapidly shrinking Arctic sea ice is changing weather patterns and disrupting the balance of nature. Dynamics of Arctic weather variability (WV) plays a crucial role in weather forecasting and is closely related to extreme weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-07 Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan , Uma S Bhatt , Jürgen Kurths

It has been proposed that galactic cosmic rays may influence the Earth's climate by affecting cloud formation. If changes in cloudiness play a part in climate change, their effect changes sign in Antarctica. Satellite data from the Earth…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Henrik Svensmark
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