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Quantum theory is notoriously counterintuitive, and yet remains entirely self-consistent when applied universally. Here we uncover a new manifestation of its unusual consequences. We demonstrate, theoretically and experimentally (by means…

We prove a strong law of large numbers for the location of the second class particle in a totally asymmetric exclusion process when the process is started initially from a decreasing shock. This completes a study initiated in Ferrari and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Mountford , Herve Guiol

Bayesian Inference is a powerful approach to data analysis that is based almost entirely on probability theory. In this approach, probabilities model {\it uncertainty} rather than randomness or variability. This thesis is composed of a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-09-08 Brendon J. Brewer

An analysis is made of Deutsch's recent claim to have derived the Born rule from decision-theoretic assumptions. It is argued that Deutsch's proof must be understood in the explicit context of the Everett interpretation, and that in this…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 David Wallace

When combining apparently inconsistent experimental results, one often implements errors on errors. The Particle Data Group's phenomenological prescription offers a practical solution but lacks a firm theoretical foundation. To address…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-08-22 Satoshi Mishima , Kin-ya Oda

It was recently argued by Catani et al that it is possible to reproduce the phenomenology of quantum interference classically, by the double-slit experiment with a deterministic, local, and classical model (Quantum 7, 1119 (2023)). The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Jonte R. Hance , Sabine Hossenfelder

We investigate and provide new insights on the sampling rule called Top-Two Thompson Sampling (TTTS). In particular, we justify its use for fixed-confidence best-arm identification. We further propose a variant of TTTS called Top-Two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Xuedong Shang , Rianne de Heide , Emilie Kaufmann , Pierre Ménard , Michal Valko

This article examines the overlooked risk of false negative errors arising from eliminations in forensic firearm comparisons. While recent reforms in forensic science have focused on reducing false positives, eliminations--often based on…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-21 Maria Cuellar

Let $\mathcal{T}$ be any of the three canonical truth theories $\textsf{CT}^-$ (Compositional truth without extra induction), $\textsf{FS}^-$ (Friedman--Sheard truth without extra induction), and $\textsf{KF}^-$ (Kripke--Feferman truth…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Ali Enayat , Mateusz Łełyk , Bartosz Wcisło

For several decades, legal and scientific scholars have argued that conclusions from forensic examinations should be supported by statistical data and reported within a probabilistic framework. Multiple models have been proposed to quantify…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-14 Cedric Neumann , Madeline A. Ausdemore

When presenting forensic evidence, such as a DNA match, experts often use the Likelihood ratio (LR) to explain the impact of evidence . The LR measures the probative value of the evidence with respect to a single hypothesis such as 'DNA…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Norman Fenton , Martin Neil

The article provides a counterexample to a conjecture by Blocki-Zwonek.

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2015-07-20 John Erik Fornæss

The present article is the reply to the discussion of our earlier "Not only defended but also applied" (arXiv:1006.5366, to appear in The American Statistician) that arose from our memory of a particularly intemperate anti-Bayesian…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2012-10-29 Andrew Gelman , Christian P. Robert

We offer a new proof of the Furstenberg-Katznelson multiple recurrence theorem for several commuting probability-preserving transformations T_1, T_2, >..., T_d: \bbZ\curvearrowright (X,\S,\mu), and so, via the Furstenberg correspondence…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-03-09 Tim Austin

Persuasion, defined as the act of exploiting an informational advantage in order to effect the decisions of others, is ubiquitous. Indeed, persuasive communication has been estimated to account for almost a third of all economic activity in…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-16 Shaddin Dughmi , Haifeng Xu

Developing a better understanding of surprising or counterintuitive phenomena has constituted a significant portion of deep learning research in recent years. These include double descent, grokking, and the lottery ticket hypothesis --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Alan Jeffares , Mihaela van der Schaar

Over the past decade, the field of forensic science has received recommendations from the National Research Council of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology, and the U.S. President's…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-08 Jessie Hendricks , Cedric Neumann

Reviews conducted by the National Academy of Sciences (2009) and the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (2016) concluded that the field of forensic firearm comparisons has not been demonstrated to be scientifically…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-27 Maria Cuellar , Susan Vanderplas , Amanda Luby , Michael Rosenblum

Discussion of "Estimating the historical and future probabilities of large terrorist events" by Aaron Clauset and Ryan Woodard [arXiv:1209.0089].

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-13 Brian J. Reich , Michael D. Porter

In this reply we show that the criticisms raised by J. Noronha are based on a misapplication of the model we have proposed in [A. Jaouadi, M. Telmini, E. Charron, Phys. Rev. A 83, 023616 (2011)]. Here we explicitly discuss the range of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-07-09 A Jaouadi , M Telmini , Eric Charron
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