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Recently, a method called the Mutual Information Neural Estimator (MINE) that uses neural networks has been proposed to estimate mutual information and more generally the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between two distributions. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja

The universality properties of kernels characterize the class of functions that can be approximated in the associated reproducing kernel Hilbert space and are of fundamental importance in the theoretical underpinning of kernel methods in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Franziskus Steinert , Salem Said , Cyrus Mostajeran

Dirichlet process mixtures are flexible non-parametric models, particularly suited to density estimation and probabilistic clustering. In this work we study the posterior distribution induced by Dirichlet process mixtures as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Giovanni Rebaudo , Giacomo Zanella

This paper describes a new Bayesian interpretation of a class of skew--Student $t$ distributions. We consider a hierarchical normal model with unknown covariance matrix and show that by imposing different restrictions on the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-25 Abdolnasser Sadeghkhani

We discuss optimal prediction for families of probability distributions with a locally compact topological group structure. Right-invariant priors were previously shown to yield a posterior predictive distribution minimizing the worst-case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Jannis Bolik , Thomas Hofmann

A Hilbert space embedding of a distribution---in short, a kernel mean embedding---has recently emerged as a powerful tool for machine learning and inference. The basic idea behind this framework is to map distributions into a reproducing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Krikamol Muandet , Kenji Fukumizu , Bharath Sriperumbudur , Bernhard Schölkopf

In this paper we provide general conditions to check on the model and the prior to derive posterior concentration rates for data-dependent priors (or empirical Bayes approaches). We aim at providing conditions that are close to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Sophie Donnet , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

Let $X|\mu\sim N_p(\mu,v_xI)$ and $Y|\mu\sim N_p(\mu,v_yI)$ be independent $p$-dimensional multivariate normal vectors with common unknown mean $\mu$. Based on observing $X=x$, we consider the problem of estimating the true predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lawrence D. Brown , Edward I. George , Xinyi Xu

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions if the model is misspecified. Given a prior distribution and a random sample from a distribution $P_0$, which may not be in the support of the prior, we show that the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. J. K. Kleijn , A. W. van der Vaart

The Bayesian predictive density has complex representation and does not belong to any finite-dimensional statistical model except for in limited situations. In this paper, we introduce its simple approximate representation employing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Michiko Okudo , Fumiyasu Komaki

In a variety of applications it is important to extract information from a probability measure $\mu$ on an infinite dimensional space. Examples include the Bayesian approach to inverse problems and possibly conditioned) continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Frank Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We investigate shrinkage priors for constructing Bayesian predictive distributions. It is shown that there exist shrinkage predictive distributions asymptotically dominating Bayesian predictive distributions based on the Jeffreys prior or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Fumiyasu Komaki

Information-theoretic measures such as the entropy, cross-entropy and the Kullback-Leibler divergence between two mixture models is a core primitive in many signal processing tasks. Since the Kullback-Leibler divergence of mixtures provably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-01 Frank Nielsen , Ke Sun

Given a random sample from a distribution with density function that depends on an unknown parameter $\theta$, we are interested in accurately estimating the true parametric density function at a future observation from the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mihaela Aslan

We investigate shrinkage priors on power spectral densities for complex-valued circular-symmetric autoregressive processes. We construct shrinkage predictive power spectral densities, which asymptotically dominate (i) the Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-05 Hidemasa Oda , Fumiyasu Komaki

Simultaneous predictive distributions for independent Poisson observables are investigated. A class of improper prior distributions for Poisson means is introduced. The Bayesian predictive distributions based on priors from the introduced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Fumiyasu Komaki

Estimating Kullback Leibler (KL) divergence from samples of two distributions is essential in many machine learning problems. Variational methods using neural network discriminator have been proposed to achieve this task in a scalable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Sandesh Ghimire , Aria Masoomi , Jennifer Dy

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of Bayesian posterior distributions under independent and identically distributed ($i.i.d.$) misspecified models. More specifically, we study the concentration of the posterior distribution on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 R. V. Ramamoorthi , Karthik Sriram , Ryan Martin

The Kullback-Leibler divergence, the Kullback-Leibler variation, and the Bernstein "norm" are used to quantify discrepancies among probability distributions in likelihood models such as nonparametric maximum likelihood and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Tetsuya Kaji

This article establishes general conditions for posterior consistency of Bayesian finite mixture models with a prior on the number of components. That is, we provide sufficient conditions under which the posterior concentrates on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Jeffrey W. Miller
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