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Discrete Hamiltonian variational integrators are derived from Type II and Type III generating functions for symplectic maps, and in this paper we establish a variational error analysis result that relates the order of accuracy of the…
We study the partition function from random matrix theory using a well known connection to orthogonal polynomials, and a recently developed Riemann-Hilbert approach to the computation of detailed asymptotics for these orthogonal…
We develop a scalable class of models for latent variable estimation using composite Gaussian processes, with a focus on derivative Gaussian processes. We jointly model multiple data sources as outputs to improve the accuracy of latent…
The Gaussian mixed-effects model driven by a stationary integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process has been used for analyzing longitudinal data having an explicit and simple serial-correlation structure in each individual. However, the…
It was shown in Mishura et al. (Stochastic Process. Appl. 123 (2013) 2353-2369), that any random variable can be represented as improper pathwise integral with respect to fractional Brownian motion. In this paper, we extend this result to…
We consider high-dimensional Wishart matrices $d^{-1}\mathcal{X}_{n,d}\mathcal{X}_{n,d}^T$, associated with a rectangular random matrix $\mathcal{X}_{n,d}$ of size $n\times d$ whose entries are jointly Gaussian and correlated. Even if we…
In numerous applications data are observed at random times and an estimated graph of the spectral density may be relevant for characterizing and explaining phenomena. By using a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametric estimator of the…
Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated , in particular when X 1 is not…
The field of discrete event simulation and optimization techniques motivates researchers to adjust classic ranking and selection (R&S) procedures to the settings where the number of populations is large. We use insights from extreme value…
In this paper we present the asymptotic analysis of the realised quadratic variation for multivariate symmetric $\beta$-stable L\'evy processes, $\beta \in (0,2)$, and certain pure jump semimartingales. The main focus is on derivation of…
The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…
We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for the partial sum of squares of general Gaussian sequences, using tools from analysis on Wiener space. No assumption of stationarity, asymptotically or otherwise, is made. The main…
Given a discrete time sample $X_1,... X_n$ from a L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of a finite jump activity, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the characteristic triplet $(\gamma,\sigma^2,\rho)$ corresponding to the…
Surrogate models have become ubiquitous in science and engineering for their capability of emulating expensive computer codes, necessary to model and investigate complex phenomena. Bayesian emulators based on Gaussian processes adequately…
The paper considers the problem of estimating the parameters in a continuous time regression model with a non-Gaussian noise of pulse type. The noise is specified by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the mixture of a Brownian motion…
We introduce a novel method for estimating the self-similarity index of a general $H$-self-similar process with either stationary or non-stationary increments. The estimation algorithm is developed based on a modified Lamperti…
We provide an overview of some recent techniques involving the Malliavin calculus of variations and the so-called ``Stein's method'' for the Gaussian approximations of probability distributions. Special attention is devoted to establishing…
Let $\{X(t):t\in[0,\infty)\}$ be a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(t)$. We study the exact asymptotics of ${\mathbb{P}}(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X(t)>u)$ as $u\to\infty$, where $T$ is an…
Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and…
We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…