Related papers: Variations and estimators for the selfsimilarity o…

Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…

Using the concept of self-decomposable subordinators introduced in Gardini et al. [11], we build a new bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process that can capture stochastic delays. In addition, we also develop a novel path simulation scheme…

The asymptotics for quantization error for a Wiener process with Gaussian starting point (GSP-Wiener process) is investigated. Using the classical methodology and some analytical approach a first result is obtained. We provide some further…

We study the small deviation problem $\log\mathbb{P}(\sup_{t\in[0,1]}|X_t|\leq\varepsilon)$, as $\varepsilon\to0$, for general L\'{e}vy processes $X$. The techniques enable us to determine the asymptotic rate for general real-valued…

Estimation procedures based on recursive algorithms are interesting and powerful techniques that are able to deal rapidly with (very) large samples of high dimensional data. The collected data may be contaminated by noise so that robust…

The paper proposes a Riemannian Manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampler to resolve the shortcomings of existing Monte Carlo algorithms when sampling from target densities that may be high dimensional and exhibit strong correlations. The…

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. The model considered in the paper is very general as we do not impose any…

If a partition $\lambda$ of size n is chosen randomly according to the Plancherel measure $P_n[\lambda] = (\dim \lambda)^2/n!$, then as n goes to infinity, the rescaled shape of $\lambda$ is with high probability very close to a non-random…

This paper presents the Fourier-Malliavin Volatility (FMVol) estimation library for MATLAB. This library includes functions that implement Fourier- Malliavin estimators (see Malliavin and Mancino (2002, 2009)) of the volatility and…

One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le…

We develop the canonical Volterra representation for a self-similar Gaussian process by using the Lamperti transformation of the corresponding stationary Gaussian process, where this latter one admits a canonical integral representation…

We propose a rigorous, non-perturbative, Bayesian framework which enables one jointly to test Gaussianity and estimate the power spectrum of CMB anisotropies. It makes use of the Hilbert space of an harmonic oscillator to set up an exact…

The construction of synthetic complex-valued signals from real-valued observations is an important step in many time series analysis techniques. The most widely used approach is based on the Hilbert transform, which maps the real-valued…

We develop sampling methods, which consist of Gaussian invariant versions of random walk Metropolis (RWM), Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) and second order Hessian or Manifold MALA. Unlike standard RWM and MALA we show that…

In this paper we propose the first non-parametric Bayesian model using Gaussian Processes to make inference on Poisson Point Processes without resorting to gridding the domain or to introducing latent thinning points. Unlike competing…

We study fluctuations of small noise multiscale diffusions around their homogenized deterministic limit. We derive quantitative rates of convergence of the fluctuation processes to their Gaussian limits in the appropriate Wasserstein metric…

We develop a Malliavin calculus for nonlinear Hawkes processes in the sense of Carlen and Pardoux. This approach, based on perturbations of the jump times of the process, enables the construction of a local Dirichlet form. As an…

Maximum likelihood estimators for time-dependent mean functions within Gaussian processes are provided in the context of continuous observations. We find the widest possible class of mean functions for which the likelihood function can be…

Let $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a known process and $T$ an unknown random time independent of $X$. Our goal is to derive the distribution of $T$ based on an iid sample of $X_T$. Belomestny and Schoenmakers (2015) propose a solution based the…

We establish an exact asymptotic formula for the square variation of certain partial sum processes. Let $\{X_{i}\}$ be a sequence of independent, identically distributed mean zero random variables with finite variance $\sigma$ and…