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We derive an asymptotic expansion for the quadratic variation of a stochastic process satisfying a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion, based on the theory of asymptotic expansion of Skorohod integrals…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Hayate Yamagishi , Nakahiro Yoshida

The article is devoted to models of financial markets with stochastic volatility, which is defined by a functional of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process or Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the question of exact price of European option. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-02 S. Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Y. Mishura , Y. Munchak

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

We study the asymptotic behavior of estimators of a two-valued, discontinuous diffusion coefficient in a Stochastic Differential Equation, called an Oscillating Brownian Motion. Using the relation of the latter process with the Skew…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Peter Hall , Tung Pham , M. P. Wand , S. S. J. Wang

In the present paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the auto-covariance function for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes driven by Gaussian noises with stationary and non-stationary increments and for Hermite OU processes. Our results…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

In this paper we introduce a Hilbert space-valued Malliavin calculus for Poisson random measures. It is solely based on elementary principles from the theory of point processes and basic moment estimates, and thus allows for a simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Adam Andersson , Felix Lindner

The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Sebastian Holtz

The Lamperti transform offers a powerful bridge between self-similar processes and stationary dynamics, making it especially useful for analyzing anomalous diffusion models that lack stationary increments. In this paper we examine the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Foad Shokrollahi , Saeed Vahdati

Consider estimation of the regression function based on a model with equidistant design and measurement errors generated from a fractional Gaussian noise process. In previous literature, this model has been heuristically linked to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

The problem of sampling according to the probability distribution minimizing a given free energy, using interacting particles unadjusted kinetic Langevin Monte Carlo, is addressed. In this setting, three sources of error arise, related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Pierre Monmarché , Katharina Schuh

We describe an elementary method to get non-asymptotic estimates for the moments of Hermitian random matrices whose elements are Gaussian independent random variables. As the basic example, we consider the GUE matrices. Immediate…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 O. Khorunzhiy

Consider a process, stochastic or deterministic, obtained by using a numerical integration scheme, or from Monte-Carlo methods involving an approximation to an integral, or a Newton-Raphson iteration to approximate the root of an equation.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-17 Don McLeish

In many statistical signal processing applications, the estimation of nuisance parameters and parameters of interest is strongly linked to the resulting performance. Generally, these applications deal with complex data. This paper focuses…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-24 Melanie Mahot , Philippe Forster , Frederic Pascal , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We propose a general framework to simulate stochastic trajectories with arbitrarily long memory dependence and efficiently evaluate large deviation functions associated to time-extensive observables. This extends the "cloning" procedure of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-01 Massimo Cavallaro , Rosemary J. Harris

Individual random trajectories of stochastic processes are often analyzed by using quadratic forms such as time averaged (TA) mean square displacement (MSD) or velocity auto-correlation function (VACF). The appropriate quadratic form is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov

The characteristic feature of semi-selfsimilar process is the invariance of its finite dimensional distributions by certain dilation for specific scaling factor. Estimating the scale parameter $\lambda$ and the Hurst index of such processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Saeid Rezakhah , Anne Philippe , Navideh Modarresi

A simple method is presented for the rapid simulation of statistically-isotropic non-Gaussian maps of CMB temperature fluctuations with a given power spectrum and analytically-calculable bispectrum and higher-order polyspectra. The…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Graca Rocha , M. P. Hobson , Sarah Smith , Pedro Ferreira , Anthony Challinor

In [8], asymptotic expansion of the martingale with mixed normal limit was provided. The expansion formula is expressed by the adjoint of a random symbol with coefficients described by the Malliavin calculus, differently from the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Nakahiro Yoshida
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