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It is well known that estimating bilinear models is quite challenging. Many different ideas have been proposed to solve this problem. However, there is not a simple way to do inference even for its simple cases. This paper studies the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-14 Shiqing Ling , Liang Peng , Fukang Zhu

The quasi-maximum likelihood estimation is a commonly-used method for estimating GARCH parameters. However, such estimators are sensitive to outliers and their asymptotic normality is proved under the finite fourth moment assumption on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee

In this paper, we investigate quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for the parameters of a cointegrated solution of a continuous-time linear state space model observed at discrete time points. The class of cointegrated solutions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Markus Scholz

We study fundamental properties of the gamma process and their relation to various topics such as Poisson-Dirichlet measures and stable processes. We prove the quasi-invariance of the gamma process with respect to a large group of linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 N. Tsilevich , A. Vershik , M. Yor

In this paper we are interested in the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of the vector parameter of an autoregressive process of order $p$ with regular stationary Gaussian noise. We exhibit the large sample asymptotical properties of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-23 Alexandre Brouste , Chunhao Cai , Marina Kleptsyna

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

The asymptotic decision theory by Le Cam and Hajek has been given a lucid perspective by the Ibragimov-Hasminskii theory on convergence of the likelihood random field. Their scheme has been applied to stochastic processes by Kutoyants, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Nakahiro Yoshida

Certain extremum estimators have asymptotic distributions that are non-Gaussian, yet characterizable as the distribution of the $\argmax$ of a Gaussian process. This paper presents high-level sufficient conditions under which such…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-24 Matias D. Cattaneo , Gregory Fletcher Cox , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

The stationary solution \rho of a quantum master equation can be represented as an ensemble of pure states in a continuous infinity of ways. An ensemble which is physically realizable through monitoring the system's environment we call an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-30 H. M. Wiseman , J. A. Vaccaro

In this work, we investigate Gaussian Mixture Models ({\it abbrv} GMM) and the related problem of non parametric maximum likelihood estimation ({\it abbrv} NPMLE) from the perspective of statistical mechanics. In particular, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Subhroshekhar Ghosh , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Satyaki Mukherjee , Hoang-Son Tran

We consider periodic Markov chains with absorption. Applying to iterates of this periodic Markov chain criteria for the exponential convergence of conditional distributions of aperiodic absorbed Markov chains, we obtain exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We derive mixing properties for a broad class of Poisson count time series satisfying a certain contraction condition. Using specific coupling techniques, we prove absolute regularity at a geometric rate not only for stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Paul Doukhan , Anne Leucht , Michael H Neumann

The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-20 Katarzyna Bartkiewicz , Adam Jakubowski , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

A new method of quasi-optimal observables allows one to approach the quality of data processing usually associated with the method of maximal likelihood within the simpler algorithmic context of generalized moments.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 F. V. Tkachov

In this article we study the existence and strong consistency of GEE estimators, when the generalized estimating functions are martingales with random coefficients. Furthermore, we characterize estimating functions which are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Laura Dumitrescu , Ioana Schiopu-Kratina

he quasigeostrophic model describes large scale and relatively slow fluid motion in geophysical flows. We investigate the quasigeostrophic model under random forcing and random boundary conditions. We first transform the model into a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jinqiao Duan , Peter E. Kloeden , Bjorn Schmalfuss

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We consider a class of M-estimators of the parameters of a GARCH (p,q) model. These estimators involve score functions and, for adequate choices of the score functions, are asymptotically normal under milder moment assumptions than the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Marc Hallin , Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee

We consider a class of perpetuities which admit direct characterization of asymptotics of the key truncated moment. The class contains perpetuities without polynomial decay of tail probabilities and thus not satisfying Kesten's theorem. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Adam Jakubowski , Zbigniew S. Szewczak

We introduce the notion of continuously invertible volatility models that relies on some Lyapunov condition and some regularity condition. We show that it is almost equivalent to the ability of the volatilities forecasting using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-07 Olivier Wintenberger , Sixiang Cai
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