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We consider a stable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process driven by a standard Wiener process and a spectrally positive strictly stable L\'evy process, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

This paper introduces a novel quantile approach to harness the high-frequency information and improve the daily conditional quantile estimation. Specifically, we model the conditional standard deviation as a realized GARCH model and employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-05 Donggyu Kim , Minseog Oh , Yazhen Wang

This paper develops a quasi-maximum likelihood estimator for genuinely unbalanced dynamic network panel data models with individual fixed effects. We propose a model that accommodates contemporaneous and lagged network spillovers, temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Zhijian Wang , Xingbai Xu , Tuo Liu

One of the most important features of financial time series data is volatility. There are often structural changes in volatility over time, and an accurate estimation of the volatility of financial time series requires careful…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-24 Huaiyu Hu , Ashis Gangopadhyay

The paper offers a novel unified approach to studying the accuracy of parameter estimation by the quasi likelihood method. Important features of the approach are: (1) The underlying model {is not assumed to be parametric}. (2) No conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-11 V. Spokoiny

We consider existence and stability of an almost periodic solution of the quasilinear system of differential equations with piecewise constant argument of generalized type. The associated linear homogeneous system satisfies exponential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-07 M. U. Akhmet

This paper investigates the estimation of the double autoregressive (DAR) model in the presence of skewed and heavy-tailed innovations. We propose a novel Normal Mixture Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation (NM-QMLE) method to address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Zhao Chen , Chen Shi , Christina Dan Wang

Estimating conditional quantiles of financial time series is essential for risk management and many other applications in finance. It is well-known that financial time series display conditional heteroscedasticity. Among the large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Yao Zheng , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li , Zhijie Xiao

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a non-stationary Hawkes process with time-dependent reproduction rate and baseline intensity. Our approach relies on the standard maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), coinciding with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

This paper is about vector autoregressive-moving average (VARMA) models with time-dependent coefficients to represent non-stationary time series. Contrarily to other papers in the univariate case, the coefficients depend on time but not on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Abdelkamel Alj , Christophe Ley , Guy Mélard

We study linear peer effects models where peers interact in groups, individual's outcomes are linear in the group mean outcome and characteristics, and group effects are random. Our specification is motivated by the moment conditions…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-27 Guido M. Kuersteiner , Ingmar R. Prucha , Ying Zeng

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

The adaptive quasi-likelihood analysis is developed for a degenerate diffusion process. Asymptotic normality and moment convergence are proved for the quasi-maximum likelihood estimators and quasi-Bayesian estimators, in the adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

The purpose of this paper is to study the convergence of the quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimator for long memory linear processes. We first establish a correspondence between the long-memory linear process representation and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Jean-Marc Bardet , Yves Gael Tchabo Mbienkeu

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

This paper studies the model selection problem in a large class of causal time series models, which includes both the ARMA or AR($\infty$) processes, as well as the GARCH or ARCH($\infty$), APARCH, ARMA-GARCH and many others processes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Jean-Marc Bardet , Kare Kamila , William Kengne

We develop a quasi-likelihood analysis procedure for a general class of multivariate marked point processes. As a by-product of the general method, we establish under stability and ergodicity conditions the local asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Simon Clinet

We consider a process $ X= (X_t)_{t\in \Z}$ belonging to a large class of causal models including AR($\infty$), ARCH($\infty$), TARCH($\infty$),... models. We assume that the model depends on a parameter $\theta_0 \in \R^d$ and consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-05 Kengne William Charky

We consider statistical inference for a class of continuous semimartingale regression models based on high-frequency observations subject to contamination by finite-activity jumps and spike noise. By employing density-power weighting and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

We prove the existence of almost-periodic solutions for quasi-linear perturbations of the Airy equation. This is the first result about the existence of this type of solutions for a quasi-linear PDE. The solutions turn out to be analytic in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Livia Corsi , Riccardo Montalto , Michela Procesi