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We study semiparametric time series models with innovations following a log-concave distribution. We propose a general maximum likelihood framework which allows us to estimate simultaneously the parameters of the model and the density of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 Yining Chen

For the continuous-time $\lambda$-recurrent jump process, the $\lambda$-recurrence assures the existence of quasi-stationary distribution when it has finite exit states (the states that have positive killing rates). And we give an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Qian Du , Yong-Hua Mao

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

We develop two new estimators for a general class of stationary GARCH models with possibly heavy tailed asymmetrically distributed errors, covering processes with symmetric and asymmetric feedback like GARCH, Asymmetric GARCH, VGARCH and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jonathan B. Hill

In this paper we prove the existence and the stability of small-amplitude quasi-periodic solutions with Sobolev regularity, for the 1-dimensional forced Kirchoff equation with periodic boundary conditions. This is the first KAM result for a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Riccardo Montalto

We consider the parametric estimation of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy process with the stable index $\alpha>1$ and possibly skewed jumps, based on a discrete-time sample over a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

It is rigorously proved that quasilinear impulsive systems possess unpredictable solutions when a perturbation generated by an unpredictable sequence is applied. The existence, uniqueness, as well as asymptotic stability of such solutions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-03 Mehmet Onur Fen , Fatma Tokmak Fen

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

We prove the local asymptotic mixed normality (LAMN) property for a family of probability measures defined by parametrized diffusion processes with nonsynchronous observations. We assume that observation times of processes are independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Teppei Ogihara

We consider statistical inference for a class of mixed-effects models with system noise described by a non-Gaussian integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Under the asymptotics where the number of individuals goes to infinity with possibly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Takumi Imamura , Hiroki Masuda

This paper presents asymptotic properties of the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator of a vector $\Vect{\theta}$ parameterizing a stationary Gibbs point process. Sufficient conditions, expressed in terms of the local energy function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-08 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rémy Drouilhet

Penalized spline smoothing of time series and its asymptotic properties are studied. A data-driven algorithm for selecting the smoothing parameter is developed. The proposal is applied to define a semiparametric extension of the well-known…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-26 Yuanhua Feng , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

We consider a continuous time process that is self-exciting and ergodic, called threshold Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders (CKLS) process. This process is a generalization of various models in econometrics, such as Vasicek model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Sara Mazzonetto , Benoît Nieto

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

We prove the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in time-varying transition probability (TVTP) regime-switching models. This class of models extends the constant regime transition probability in Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-06 Chaojun Li , Yan Liu

We develop a higher regularity theory for general quasilinear elliptic equations and systems in divergence form with random coefficients. The main result is a large-scale $L^\infty$-type estimate for the gradient of a solution. The estimate…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-27 Scott N. Armstrong , Jean-Christophe Mourrat

The $GARCH$ algorithm is the most renowned generalisation of Engle's original proposal for modelising {\it returns}, the $ARCH$ process. Both cases are characterised by presenting a time dependent and correlated variance or {\it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros , Constantino Tsallis

This paper provides a probabilistic and statistical comparison of the log-GARCH and EGARCH models, which both rely on multiplicative volatility dynamics without positivity constraints. We compare the main probabilistic properties (strict…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-11 Christian Francq , Olivier Wintenberger , Jean-Michel Zakoïan

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

Fully-discrete approximations of the Allen-Cahn equation are considered. In particular, we consider schemes of arbitrary order based on a discontinuous Galerkin (in time) approach combined with standard conforming finite elements (in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-03 Konstantinos Chrysafinos
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