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Estimation of molecular evolutionary divergence times requires models of rate change. These vary with regard to the assumption of what quantity is penalized. The possibilities considered are the rate of evolution, the log of the rate of…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-31 Peter J Waddell

Divergence time estimation requires the reconciliation of two major sources of data. These are fossil and/or biogeographic evidence that give estimates of the absolute age of nodes (ancestors) and molecular estimates that give us estimates…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-31 Peter J Waddell

Recent advances have allowed for both morphological fossil evidence and molecular sequences to be integrated into a single combined inference of divergence dates under the rule of Bayesian probability. In particular the fossilized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-04 Alexei J. Drummond , Tanja Stadler

Time-calibrated species phylogenies are critical for addressing a wide range of questions in evolutionary biology, such as those that elucidate historical biogeography or uncover patterns of coevolution and diversification. Because…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-11 Tracy A. Heath , John P. Huelsenbeck , Tanja Stadler

We propose a method for estimating coefficients in multivariate regression when there is a clustering structure to the response variables. The proposed method includes a fusion penalty, to shrink the difference in fitted values from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-28 Bradley S. Price , Ben Sherwood

Estimating divergence times from molecular sequence data is central to reconstructing the evolutionary history of lineages. Although Bayesian relaxed-clock methods provide a principled framework for incorporating fossil information, their…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-03 Gregory M Ellison , Liang Liu

To understand biological diversification, it is important to account for large-scale processes that affect the evolutionary history of groups of co-distributed populations of organisms. Such events predict temporally clustered divergences…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-11 Jamie R. Oaks

We propose a penalized least-squares method to fit the linear regression model with fitted values that are invariant to invertible linear transformations of the design matrix. This invariance is important, for example, when practitioners…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-11 Daeyoung Ham , Adam J. Rothman

Scaled Brownian motion (SBM) is widely used to model anomalous diffusion of passive tracers in complex and biological systems. It is a highly non-stationary process governed by the Langevin equation for Brownian motion, however, with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 H. Safdari , A. V. Chechkin , G. R. Jafari , R. Metzler

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

The method of flexi-Weighted Least Squares on evolutionary trees uses simple polynomial or exponential functions of the evolutionary distance in place of model-based variances. This has the advantage that unexpected deviations from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-12-30 Peter J. Waddell , Xi Tan , Ishita Khan

With the standard deviation for the logarithm of the re-scaled range $\langle |F(t+\tau)-F(t)|\rangle$ of simulated fractal Brownian motions $F(t)$ given in a previous paper \cite{q14}, the method of least squares is adopted to determine…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-03-21 Bingqiang Qiao , Siming Liu , Houdun Zeng , Xiang Li , Benzhong Dai

Establishing that a set of population-splitting events occurred at the same time can be a potentially persuasive argument that a common process affected the populations. Oaks et al. (2013) assessed the ability of an approximate-Bayesian…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-26 Jamie R. Oaks , Charles W. Linkem , Jeet Sukumaran

We present a Bayesian inference scheme for scaled Brownian motion, and investigate its performance on synthetic data for parameter estimation and model selection in a combined inference with fractional Brownian motion. We include the…

When observations are subject to right censoring, weighted least squares with appropriate weights (to adjust for censoring) is sometimes used for parameter estimation. With Stute's weighted least squares method, when the largest observation…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Md Hasinur Rahaman Khan , J. Ewart H. Shaw

Phylogenomics, even more so than traditional phylogenetics, needs to represent the uncertainty in evolutionary trees due to systematic error. Here we illustrate the analysis of genome-scale alignments of yeast, using robust measures of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-31 Peter J. Waddell , Ariful Azad

The models used to describe the kinetics of ruminal degradation are usually nonlinear models where the dependent variable is the proportion of degraded food. The method of least squares is the standard approach used to estimate the unknown…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Diego Salmerón

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares within a decision-theoretic framework. In contrast to existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Aihua Li , Surya T. Tokdar , Jason Xu

This paper studies a problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for a sequence of scaled counting processes whose weak limit is a Brownian motion with an unknown drift. The main result of the paper is that the limit of the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Asaf Cohen

The model averaging problem is to average multiple models to achieve a prediction accuracy not much worse than that of the best single model in terms of mean squared error. It is known that if the models are misspecified, model averaging is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Dong Dai , Lei Han , Ting Yang , Tong Zhang
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