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Estimating time-varying correlation matrices is challenging because existing methods may adapt slowly to structural changes, impose insufficient regularization, or produce diffuse posterior uncertainty. In moderate dimensions, an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Daniel Andrew Coulson , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

This work proposes a Bayesian rule based on the mixture of a point mass function at zero and the logistic distribution to perform wavelet shrinkage in nonparametric regression models with stationary errors (with short or long-memory…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-24 Alex Rodrigo dos S. Sousa , Mauricio Zevallos

This paper describes and compares several prominent single and multiple changepoint techniques for time series data. Due to their importance in inferential matters, changepoint research on correlated data has accelerated recently.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-07 Xueheng Shi , Colin Gallagher , Robert Lund , Rebecca Killick

We study the error in approximating the minimum of a Brownian motion on the unit interval based on finitely many point evaluations. We construct an algorithm that adaptively chooses the points at which to evaluate the Brownian path. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 James M. Calvin , Mario Hefter , André Herzwurm

Volume limitations and low yield thresholds of biological fluids have led to widespread use of passive microparticle rheology. The mean-squared-displacement (MSD) statistics of bead position time series (bead paths) are either applied…

It has been postulated and observed in practice that for prediction problems in which covariate data can be naturally partitioned into clusters, ensembling algorithms based on suitably aggregating models trained on individual clusters often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Maya Ramchandran , Rajarshi Mukherjee

This paper provides an alternative to penalized estimators for estimation and vari- able selection in high dimensional linear regression models with measurement error or missing covariates. We propose estimation via bias corrected least…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-11 Abhishek Kaul , Hira L. Koul , Akshita Chawla , Soumendra N. Lahiri

A weighted regression procedure is proposed for regression type problems where the innovations are heavy-tailed. This method approximates the least absolute regression method in large samples, and the main advantage will be if the sample is…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

In randomized controlled trials, forest plots are frequently used to investigate the homogeneity of treatment effect estimates in subgroups. However, the interpretation of subgroup-specific treatment effect estimates requires great care due…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-17 Marcel Wolbers , Mar Vázquez Rabuñal , Ke Li , Kaspar Rufibach , Daniel Sabanés Bové

We propose a penalized likelihood method to jointly estimate multiple precision matrices for use in quadratic discriminant analysis and model based clustering. A ridge penalty and a ridge fusion penalty are used to introduce shrinkage and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-06 Bradley S. Price , Charles J. Geyer , Adam J. Rothman

We study methods for aggregating pairwise comparison data in order to estimate outcome probabilities for future comparisons among a collection of n items. Working within a flexible framework that imposes only a form of strong stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-23 Nihar B. Shah , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Martin J. Wainwright

We address the new problem of estimating a piece-wise constant signal with the purpose of detecting its change points and the levels of clusters. Our approach is to model it as a nonparametric penalized least square model selection on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-04 Othmane Mazhar , Cristian R. Rojas , Carlo Fischione , Mohammad R. Hesamzadeh

Phylogenetic comparative methods explore the relationships between quantitative traits adjusting for shared evolutionary history. This adjustment often occurs through a Brownian diffusion process along the branches of the phylogeny that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-27 Max R. Tolkoff , Michael L. Alfaro , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard

We develop Clustered Random Forests, a random forests algorithm for clustered data, arising from independent groups that exhibit within-cluster dependence. The leaf-wise predictions for each decision tree making up clustered random forests…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Elliot H. Young , Peter Bühlmann

Divergence is not only an important mathematical concept in information theory, but also applied to machine learning problems such as low-dimensional embedding, manifold learning, clustering, classification, and anomaly detection. We…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-22 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wong

When using complex Bayesian models to combine information, the checking for consistency of the information being combined is good statistical practice. Here a new method is developed for detecting prior-data conflicts in Bayesian models…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 David J. Nott , Xueou Wang , Michael Evans , Berthold-Georg Englert

Randomized controlled clinical trials provide the gold standard for evidence generation in relation to the efficacy of a new treatment in medical research. Relevant information from previous studies may be desirable to incorporate in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-29 Lou E. Whitehead , James M. S. Wason , Oliver Sailer , Haiyan Zheng

Comparative biologists are often interested in inferring covariation between multiple biological traits sampled across numerous related taxa. To properly study these relationships, we must control for the shared evolutionary history of the…

Multivariate linear regression models often face the problem of heteroscedasticity caused by multiple explanatory variables. The weighted least squares estimation with univariate-dependent weights has limitations in constructing weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Lei Huang , Chengyue Liu , Li Wang

We present a linear regression method for predictions on a small data set making use of a second possibly biased data set that may be much larger. Our method fits linear regressions to the two data sets while penalizing the difference…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-19 Aiyou Chen , Art B. Owen , Minghui Shi