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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) on compact foliated spaces were introduced a few years ago. As a corollary, a leafwise Brownian motion on a compact foliated space was obtained as a solution to an SDE. In this paper we construct…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Yuzuru Inahama , Kiyotaka Suzaki

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Armin Lederer , Alejandro Jose Ordonez Conejo , Korbinian Maier , Wenxin Xiao , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Motivated by the challenge of incorporating data into misspecified and multiscale dynamical models, we study a McKean-Vlasov equation that contains the data stream as a common driving rough path. This setting allows us to prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Michele Coghi , Torstein Nilssen , Nikolas Nüsken , Sebastian Reich

We consider anticipative Stratonovich stochastic differential equations driven by some stochastic process (not necessarily a semi-martingale). No adaptedness of initial point or vector fields is assumed. Under a simple condition on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Laure Coutin , Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

We investigate the connection between Gaussian processes and Gaussian random elements in reproducing kernel Banach spaces. We show that the covariance operator of a weak second-order Radon probability measure on such a space is uniquely…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Toni Karvonen , Rasmus Kleist Hørlyck Sørensen

Learning mappings between functional spaces, also known as function-on-function regression, is a fundamental problem in functional data analysis with broad applications, including spatiotemporal forecasting, curve prediction, and climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Matthew Lowery , Zhitong Xu , Da Long , Keyan Chen , Daniel S. Johnson , Yang Bai , Varun Shankar , Shandian Zhe

Gaussian processes are a widely embraced technique for regression and classification due to their good prediction accuracy, analytical tractability and built-in capabilities for uncertainty quantification. However, they suffer from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Mickael Binois , Victor Picheny

We study solutions to backward differential equations that are driven hybridly by a deterministic discontinuous rough path $W$ of finite $q$-variation for $q \in [1, 2)$ and by Brownian motion $B$. To distinguish between integration of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Dirk Becherer , Yuchen Sun

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for uncertainty-aware function approximation and sequential decision-making. Unfortunately, their classical formulation does not scale gracefully to large amounts of data and modern hardware for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Jihao Andreas Lin

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide flexible distributions over functions, with inductive biases controlled by a kernel. However, in many applications Gaussian processes can struggle with even moderate input dimensionality. Learning a low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Ian A. Delbridge , David S. Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We study the Small Ball Probabilities (SBPs) of Gaussian rough paths. While many works on rough paths study the Large Deviations Principles (LDPs) for stochastic processes driven by Gaussian rough paths, it is a noticeable gap in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 William Salkeld

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

Combining fractional calculus and the Rough Path Theory we study the existence and uniqueness of mild solutions to evolutions equations driven by a H\"older continuous function with H\"older exponent in $(1/3,1/2)$. Our stochastic integral…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-05-06 María J. Garrido-Atienza , Kening Lu , Björn Schmalfuss

We propose a theory of linear differential equations driven by unbounded operator-valued rough signals. As an application we consider rough linear transport equations and more general linear hyperbolic symmetric systems of equations driven…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-06-27 I. Bailleul , M. Gubinelli

The existence of random dynamical systems for McKean--Vlasov SDEs is established. This is approached by considering the joint dynamics of the corresponding nonlinear Fokker-Planck equation governing the law of the system and the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-04 Benjamin Gess , Rishabh S. Gvalani , Shanshan Hu

Recent research has shown the potential utility of Deep Gaussian Processes. These deep structures are probability distributions, designed through hierarchical construction, which are conditionally Gaussian. In this paper, the current…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Matthew M. Dunlop , Mark A. Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

One goal in Bayesian machine learning is to encode prior knowledge into prior distributions, to model data efficiently. We consider prior knowledge from systems of linear partial differential equations together with their boundary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Markus Lange-Hegermann

We introduce a differential structure for the space of weakly geometric p rough paths over a Banach space V for 2<p<3. We begin by considering a certain natural family of smooth rough paths and differentiating in the truncated tensor…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Zhongmin Qian , Jan Tudor

Data in many applications follows systems of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). This paper presents a novel algorithmic and symbolic construction for covariance functions of Gaussian Processes (GPs) with realizations strictly following…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann

Uncertainties are abundant in complex systems. Mathematical models for these systems thus contain random effects or noises. The models are often in the form of stochastic differential equations, with some parameters to be determined by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Jiarui Yang , Jinqiao Duan