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Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

This paper is centered around the approximation of dynamical systems by means of Gaussian processes. To this end, trajectories of such systems must be collected to be used as training data. The measurements of these trajectories are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-02 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Motivated by the subordinated Brownian motion, we define a new class of (in general discontinuous) random fields on higher-dimensional parameter domains: the subordinated Gaussian random field. We investigate the pointwise marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Andrea Barth , Robin Merkle

In this work, we employ the Bayesian inference framework to solve the problem of estimating the solution and particularly, its derivatives, which satisfy a known differential equation, from the given noisy and scarce observations of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-09 Hongqiao Wang , Xiang Zhou

This paper establishes the existence and uniqueness of solutions for rough differential equations driven by reduced rough paths with low regularity, specifically in the roughness regime $\frac{1}{3} < \alpha \leq \frac{1}{2}$. While the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Nannan Li , Xing Gao

The present paper is devoted to the study of sample paths of G-Brownian motion and stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by G-Brownian motion from the view of rough path theory. As the starting point, we show that quasi-surely,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-11 Xi Geng , Zhongmin Qian , Danyu Yang

Generating large-scale samples of stationary random fields is of great importance in the fields such as geomaterial modeling and uncertainty quantification. Traditional methodologies based on covariance matrix decomposition have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Bin Zhu , Jiahao Liu , Zhengshou Lai , Tao Qian

We propose practical deep Gaussian process models on Riemannian manifolds, similar in spirit to residual neural networks. With manifold-to-manifold hidden layers and an arbitrary last layer, they can model manifold- and scalar-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-03 Kacper Wyrwal , Andreas Krause , Viacheslav Borovitskiy

This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth

Statistical (machine learning) tools for equation discovery require large amounts of data that are typically computer generated rather than experimentally observed. Multiscale modeling and stochastic simulations are two areas where learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Joseph Bakarji , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We discuss regular and weak solutions to rough partial differential equations (RPDEs), thereby providing a (rough path-)wise view on important classes of SPDEs. In contrast to many previous works on RPDEs, our definition gives honest…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Joscha Diehl , Peter K. Friz , Wilhelm Stannat

Let $P$ be a linear differential operator over $\mathcal{D} \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ and $U = (U_x)_{x \in \mathcal{D}}$ a second order stochastic process. In the first part of this article, we prove a new necessary and sufficient condition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Iain Henderson , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant

We investigate the existence of a robust, i.e., continuous, representation of the conditional distribution in a stochastic filtering model for multidimensional correlated jump-diffusions. Even in the absence of jumps, it is known that in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Andrew L. Allan , Jost Pieper , Josef Teichmann

We show well-posedness for McKean--Vlasov equations with rough common noise and progressively measurable coefficients. Our results are valid under natural regularity assumptions on the coefficients, in agreement with the respective…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Peter K. Friz , Antoine Hocquet , Khoa Lê

Increasingly larger data sets of processes in space and time ask for statistical models and methods that can cope with such data. We show that the solution of a stochastic advection-diffusion partial differential equation provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

We continue the approach in Part I \cite{duchong19} to study stationary states of controlled differential equations driven by rough paths, using the framework of random dynamical systems and random attractors. Part II deals with driving…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-29 Luu Hoang Duc

Reinforcement learning provides a framework for learning to control which actions to take towards completing a task through trial-and-error. In many applications observing interactions is costly, necessitating sample-efficient learning. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Charles Gadd , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki , Samuel Kaski

Deep Gaussian process models typically employ discrete hierarchies, but recent advancements in differential Gaussian processes (DiffGPs) have extended these models to infinite depths. However, existing DiffGP approaches often overlook the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jian Xu , Zhiqi Lin , Min Chen , Junmei Yang , Delu Zeng , John Paisley
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