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Unit Root Testing with Slowly Varying Trends

Econometrics 2020-09-15 v3

Abstract

A unit root test is proposed for time series with a general nonlinear deterministic trend component. It is shown that asymptotically the pooled OLS estimator of overlapping blocks filters out any trend component that satisfies some Lipschitz condition. Under both fixed-bb and small-bb block asymptotics, the limiting distribution of the t-statistic for the unit root hypothesis is derived. Nuisance parameter corrections provide heteroskedasticity-robust tests, and serial correlation is accounted for by pre-whitening. A Monte Carlo study that considers slowly varying trends yields both good size and improved power results for the proposed tests when compared to conventional unit root tests.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2003.04066,
  title  = {Unit Root Testing with Slowly Varying Trends},
  author = {Sven Otto},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.04066},
  year   = {2020}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T14:08:37.051Z