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Related papers: Unit Root Testing with Slowly Varying Trends

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One of the most widely applied unit root test, Phillips-Perron test, enjoys in general highpowers, but suffers from size distortions when moving average noise exists. As a remedy, thispaper proposes a nonparametric bootstrap unit root test…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Nan Zou , Dimitris Politis

This paper explores testing unit roots based on least absolute deviations (LAD) regression under unconditional heteroskedasticity. We first derive the asymptotic properties of the LAD estimator for a first-order autoregressive process with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Jilin Wu , Ruike Wu , Zhijie Xiao

In unit root testing, a piecewise locally stationary process is adopted to accommodate nonstationary errors that can have both smooth and abrupt changes in second- or higher-order properties. Under this framework, the limiting null…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-16 Yeonwoo Rho , Xiaofeng Shao

This paper deals with unit root issues in time series analysis. It has been known for a long time that unit root tests may be flawed when a series although stationary has a root close to unity. That motivated recent papers dedicated to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Marie Badreau , Frédéric Proïa

When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

This paper introduces a Nearly Unstable INteger-valued AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (NU-INARCH) process for dealing with count time series data. It is proved that a proper normalization of the NU-INARCH process endowed with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Ngai Hang Chan

This paper considers highly persistent time series that are subject to nonlinearities in the form of censoring or an occasionally binding constraint, such as are regularly encountered in macroeconomics. A tractable candidate model for such…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-13 Anna Bykhovskaya , James A. Duffy

The asymptotic theory of various estimators based on Gaussian likelihood has been developed for the unit root and near unit root cases of a first-order moving average model. Previous studies of the MA(1) unit root problem rely on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-13 Richard A. Davis , Li Song

This review discusses methods of testing for a panel unit root. Modern approaches to testing in cross-sectionally correlated panels are discussed, preceding the analysis with an analysis of independent panels. In addition, methods for…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-20 Anton Skrobotov

This paper develops inference methods for ratios of deterministic trend slopes in systems of pairs of time series. Hypotheses based on linear cross-equation restrictions are considered with particular interest in tests that trend ratios are…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-02 Timothy J. Vogelsang

This paper derives several novel tests to improve on the t-test for testing AR(1) coefficients of panel time series, i.e., of multiple time series, when each has a small number of observations. These tests can determine the acceptance or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-23 Yu-Pin Hu , J. T. Gene Hwang

To perform statistical inference for time series, one should be able to assess if they present deterministic or stochastic trends. For univariate analysis one way to detect stochastic trends is to test if the series has unit roots, and for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Marcio Alves Diniz , Carlos Alberto de Braganca Pereira , Julio Michael Stern

In this article, we first establish the joint central limit theorem (CLT) for the extreme eigenvalues of the sample correlation matrix of high-dimensional random walks with cross-sectional dependence. We further investigate the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Ruihan Liu , Chen Wang

In this paper, a unified approach is proposed to derive the exact local asymptotic power for panel unit root tests, which is one of the most important issues in nonstationary panel data literature. Two most widely used panel unit root tests…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-10 Zhongwen Liang

We propose a new asymptotic test to assess the stationarity of a time series' mean that is applicable in the presence of both heteroscedasticity and short-range dependence. Our test statistic is composed of Gini's mean difference of local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Sara Kristin Schmidt

We propose sieve wild bootstrap analogues to the adaptive Lasso solution path unit root tests of Arnold and Reinschl\"ussel (2024) arXiv:2404.06205 to improve finite sample properties and extend their applicability to a generalised…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Martin C. Arnold , Thilo Reinschlüssel

This paper considers the inference of trends in multiple, nonstationary time series. To test whether trends are parallel to each other, we use a parallelism index based on the L2-distances between nonparametric trend estimators and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 David Degras , Zhiwei Xu , Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Probabilistic learning is increasingly being tackled as an optimization problem, with gradient-based approaches as predominant methods. When modelling multivariate likelihoods, a usual but undesirable outcome is that the learned model fits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Adrián Javaloy , Isabel Valera

There is an increasing interest in algorithms to learn invariant correlations across training environments. A big share of the current proposals find theoretical support in the causality literature but, how useful are they in practice? The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Benjamin Aubin , Agnieszka Słowik , Martin Arjovsky , Leon Bottou , David Lopez-Paz

Discrete-time affine processes are widely used in finance and economics and encompass count, positive, and nonnegative-valued processes. This paper develops near-unit-root asymptotic theory for this class of models. Unlike linear AR(1)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Gael Anne , Yang Lu , Xuewen Yu , Xiaowen Zhou
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