English

Phase Transition of Dynamical Herd Behaviors in Financial Markets

Statistical Mechanics 2008-12-02 v1 Statistical Finance

Abstract

We study the phase transition of dynamical herd behaviors for the yen-dollar exchange rate in the Japanese financial market. It is obtained that the probability distribution of returns satisfies the power-law behavior with three different values of the scaling exponent 3.11 (one time lag τ\tau = 1 minute), 2.81 (30 minutes), and 2.29 (1 hour). The crash regime in which the probabilty density increases with the increasing return appears in the case of τ\tau < 30 minutes, while it occurs no financial crash at τ\tau > 30 minutes. it is especially obtained that our dynamical herd behavior exhibits the phase transition at one time lag τ\tau = 30 minutes.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.cond-mat/0408625,
  title  = {Phase Transition of Dynamical Herd Behaviors in Financial Markets},
  author = {Kyungsik Kim and Seong-Min Yoon},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:cond-mat/0408625},
  year   = {2008}
}

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9 pages