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Herd Behaviors in Financial Markets

Statistical Mechanics 2015-06-24 v1 Statistical Finance

Abstract

We investigate the herd behavior of returns for the yen-dollar exchange rate in the Japanese financial market. It is obtained that the probability distribution P(R)P(R) of returns RR satisfies the power-law behavior P(R)RβP(R) \simeq R^{-\beta} with the exponents β=3.11 \beta=3.11(the time interval τ=\tau= one minute) and 3.36(τ=\tau= one day). The informational cascade regime appears in the herding parameter H2.33H\ge 2.33 at τ=\tau= one minute, while it occurs no herding at τ=\tau= one day. Especially, we find that the distribution of normalized returns shows a crossover to a Gaussian distribution at one time step Δt=1\Delta t=1 day.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.cond-mat/0405172,
  title  = {Herd Behaviors in Financial Markets},
  author = {Kyungsik Kim and Seong-Min Yoon and J. S. Choi and Hideki Takayasu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:cond-mat/0405172},
  year   = {2015}
}

Comments

15 pages, 6 figures