How to lose as little as possible
Abstract
Suppose Alice has a coin with heads probability and Bob has one with heads probability . Now each of them will toss their coin times, and Alice will win iff she gets more heads than Bob does. Evidently the game favors Bob, but for the given , what is the choice of that maximizes Alice's chances of winning? The problem of determining the optimal first appeared in \cite{wa}. We show that there is an essentially unique value of that maximizes the probability that the weak coin will win, and it satisfies . The analysis uses the multivariate form of Zeilberger's algorithm to find an indicator function such that iff followed by a close study of this function, which is a linear combination of two Legendre polynomials. An integration-based algorithm is given for computing .
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1002.1763,
title = {How to lose as little as possible},
author = {Vittorio Addona and Stan Wagon and Herb Wilf},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1002.1763},
year = {2015}
}