English

Cusum tests for changes in the Hurst exponent and volatility of fractional Brownian motion

Statistics Theory 2020-02-04 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

In this letter, we construct cusum change-point tests for the Hurst exponent and the volatility of a discretely observed fractional Brownian motion. As a statistical application of the functional Breuer-Major theorems by B\'egyn (2007) and Nourdin and Nualart (2019), we show under infill asymptotics consistency of the tests and weak convergence to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov law under the no-change hypothesis. The test is feasible and pivotal in the sense that it is based on a statistic and critical values which do not require knowledge of any parameter values. Consistent estimation of the break date under the alternative hypothesis is established. We demonstrate the finite-sample properties in simulations and a data example.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1904.04556,
  title  = {Cusum tests for changes in the Hurst exponent and volatility of fractional Brownian motion},
  author = {Markus Bibinger},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1904.04556},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

13 pages, 6 figures