English

An Arcsine Law for Markov Random Walks

Probability 2018-03-09 v3

Abstract

The classic arcsine law for the number Nn>:=n1k=1n1{Sk>0}N_{n}^{>}:=n^{-1}\sum_{k=1}^{n}\mathbf{1}_{\{S_{k}>0\}} of positive terms, as nn\to\infty, in an ordinary random walk (Sn)n0(S_{n})_{n\ge 0} is extended to the case when this random walk is governed by a positive recurrent Markov chain (Mn)n0(M_{n})_{n\ge 0} on a countable state space S\mathcal{S}, that is, for a Markov random walk (Mn,Sn)n0(M_{n},S_{n})_{n\ge 0} with positive recurrent discrete driving chain. More precisely, it is shown that n1Nn>n^{-1}N_{n}^{>} converges in distribution to a generalized arcsine law with parameter ρ[0,1]\rho\in [0,1] (the classic arcsine law if ρ=1/2\rho=1/2) iff the Spitzer condition limn1nk=1nPi(Sn>0) = ρ \lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{1}{n}\sum_{k=1}^{n}\mathbb{P}_{i}(S_{n}>0)\ =\ \rho holds true for some and then all iSi\in\mathcal{S}, where Pi:=P(M0=i)\mathbb{P}_{i}:=\mathbb{P}(\cdot|M_{0}=i) for iSi\in\mathcal{S}. It is also proved, under an extra assumption on the driving chain if 0<ρ<10<\rho<1, that this condition is equivalent to the stronger variant limnPi(Sn>0) = ρ. \lim_{n\to\infty}\mathbb{P}_{i}(S_{n}>0)\ =\ \rho. For an ordinary random walk, this was shown by Doney for 0<ρ<10<\rho<1 and by Bertoin and Doney for ρ{0,1}\rho\in\{0,1\}.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1703.00316,
  title  = {An Arcsine Law for Markov Random Walks},
  author = {Gerold Alsmeyer and Fabian Buckmann},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1703.00316},
  year   = {2018}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-22T18:32:18.295Z