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Unsupervised Continual Learning for Amortized Bayesian Inference

Machine Learning 2026-02-27 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) enables efficient posterior estimation using generative neural networks trained on simulated data, but often suffers from performance degradation under model misspecification. While self-consistency (SC) training on unlabeled empirical data can enhance network robustness, current approaches are limited to static, single-task settings and fail to handle sequentially arriving data or distribution shifts. We propose a continual learning framework for ABI that decouples simulation-based pre-training from unsupervised sequential SC fine-tuning on real-world data. To address the challenge of catastrophic forgetting, we introduce two adaptation strategies: (1) SC with episodic replay, utilizing a memory buffer of past observations, and (2) SC with elastic weight consolidation, which regularizes updates to preserve task-critical parameters. Across three diverse case studies, our methods significantly mitigate forgetting and yield posterior estimates that outperform standard simulation-based training, achieving estimates closer to MCMC reference, providing a viable path for trustworthy ABI across a range of different tasks.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2602.22884,
  title  = {Unsupervised Continual Learning for Amortized Bayesian Inference},
  author = {Aayush Mishra and Šimon Kucharský and Paul-Christian Bürkner},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.22884},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T10:53:43.615Z