English

There's plenty of time for evolution

Probability 2015-05-20 v1 Other Quantitative Biology Populations and Evolution

Abstract

Objections to Darwinian evolution are often based on the time required to carry out the necessary mutations. Seemingly, exponential numbers of mutations are needed. We show that such estimates ignore the effects of natural selection, and that the numbers of necessary mutations are thereby reduced to about KlogLK\log{L}, rather than KLK^L, where LL is the length of the genomic "word", and KK is the number of possible "letters" that can occupy any position in the word. The required theory makes contact with the theory of radix-exchange sorting in theoretical computer science, and the asymptotic analysis of certain sums that occur there.

Cite

@article{arxiv.1010.5178,
  title  = {There's plenty of time for evolution},
  author = {Herbert S. Wilf and Warren J. Ewens},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1010.5178},
  year   = {2015}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-21T16:33:48.942Z