English

Stochastic Ordering for Bernoulli and Normal Random Walks

Probability 2025-11-19 v1

Abstract

Let (Snp)n0(S_n^p)_{n\geq 0} be a Bernoulli random walk where each of the independent increments is either 11 or 1-1 with probabilities pp and 1p1-p. For pp' and p[0,1]p'' \in [0,1] with p1/2>p1/2|p'-1/2|>|p''-1/2|, we show that (Snp)n0(|S_n^{p''}|)_{n\geq 0} is stochastically smaller than (Snp)n0(|S_n^{p'}|)_{n\geq 0}. In other words, (Snp)n0(|S_n^{p}|)_{n\geq 0} is stochastically decreasing in p[0,1/2]p \in [0,1/2] and increasing in p[1/2,1]p\in [1/2,1]. An analogous result is also given for the family of normal random walks indexed by μR\mu \in R where each of the independent increments is normally distributed with common mean μ\mu and variance 11. Extension to Brownian motion then follows by a limiting argument. As an application, these results are used to easily derive stochastic ordering properties for stopping times of Bernoulli and normal random walks.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.14200,
  title  = {Stochastic Ordering for Bernoulli and Normal Random Walks},
  author = {Shoou-Ren Hsiau and Yi-Ching Yao},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.14200},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T07:42:43.901Z