Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model
Astrophysics
2008-11-26 v1
Abstract
Whether the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong or not is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by `feeding' observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 extremely well and predict that cycle~24 will be about 35% weaker than cycle~23.
Cite
@article{arxiv.astro-ph/0701527,
title = {Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model},
author = {Arnab Rai Choudhuri and Piyali Chatterjee and Jie Jiang},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:astro-ph/0701527},
year = {2008}
}
Comments
10 pages 1 table 3 figures