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Solar activity cycle varies in amplitude. The last Cycle 24 is the weakest in the past century. Sun's activity dominates Earth's space environment. The frequency and intensity of the Sun's activity are accordant with the solar cycle. Hence…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-16 Wei Guo , Jie Jiang , Jing-Xiu Wang

This deep, extended solar minimum and the slow start to Cycle 24 strongly suggest that Cycle 24 will be a small cycle. A wide array of solar cycle prediction techniques have been applied to predicting the amplitude of Cycle 24 with widely…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-03-23 David H. Hathaway

The dynamic activity of the Sun -- sustained by a magnetohydrodynamic dynamo mechanism working in its interior -- modulates the electromagnetic, particulate and radiative environment in space. While solar activity variations on short…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-31 Dibyendu Nandy

Reliable prediction of the solar cycle is a formidable challenge, yet it is increasingly vital in our technology-dependent society as solar activity drives space weather. Various methods, including precursors, nonlinear curve fitting and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-20 Bidya Binay Karak

A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including forecasts for cycle 24 and focusing on aspects of the solar cycle prediction problem that have a bearing on dynamo theory. The scope of the review is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 K. Petrovay

Although systematic measurements of the solar polar magnetic field exist only from mid 1970s, other proxies can be used to infer the polar field at earlier times. The observational data indicate a strong correlation between the polar field…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jie Jiang , Piyali Chatterjee , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Direct observations over the past four centuries show that the number of sunspots observed on the Sun's surface vary periodically, going through successive maxima and minima. Following sunspot cycle 23, the Sun went into a prolonged minimum…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-03-05 Dibyendu Nandy , Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Petrus C. H. Martens

Stellar magnetic fields are produced by a magnetohydrodynamic dynamo mechanism working in their interior -- which relies on the interaction between plasma flows and magnetic fields. The Sun, being a well-observed star, offers an unique…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Dibyendu Nandy

A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including early forecasts for cycle 25. The review focuses on those aspects of the solar cycle prediction problem that have a bearing on dynamo theory. The scope of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-05 Kristof Petrovay

The solar magnetic field, thought to be generated by the motion of plasma within the Sun, alternates on the order of 11-year cycles and is incompletely understood. Industries rely on accurate forecasts of solar activity, but can solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-20 Floe Foxon

Having advanced knowledge of solar activity is important because the Sun's magnetic output governs space weather and impacts technologies reliant on space. However, the irregular nature of the solar cycle makes solar activity predictions a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-31 Dibyendu Nandy , Bidya Binay Karak

The magnetic cycle of the Sun, as manifested in the cyclic appearance of sunspots, significantly influences our space environment and space-based technologies by generating what is now termed as space weather. Long-term variation in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-10-27 Dibyendu Nandy

Solar cycle activity forecasting, mainly its magnitude and timing, is an essential issue for numerous scientific and technological applications: in fact, during an active solar period, many strong eruptions occur on the Sun with increasing…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-01 Stefano Sello

The Sun's activity cycle governs the radiation, particle and magnetic flux in the heliosphere creating hazardous space weather. Decadal-scale variations define space climate and force the Earth's atmosphere. However, predicting the solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-11 Prantika Bhowmik , Dibyendu Nandy

Prediction of solar cycle is an important goal of Solar Physics both because it serves as a touchstone for our understanding of the sun and also because of its societal value for a space faring civilization. The task is difficult and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-07 Leif Svalgaard

The ongoing 11-year cycle of solar activity is considerably less vigorous than the three cycles before. It was preceded by a very deep activity minimum with a low polar magnetic flux, the source of the toroidal field responsible for solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-06 Jie Jiang , Robert H. Cameron , Manfred Schuessler

Is Solar Cycle 24 anomalous? How do we predict the main features of a forthcoming cycle? In order to reply such questions, this work partitions quantitatively each cycle into valley, ascend, peak, and descend phases, statistically…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-26 Baolin Tan

The sunspot number data during the past 400 years indicates that both the profile and the amplitude of the solar cycle have large variations. Some precursors of the solar cycle were identified aiming to predict the solar cycle. The polar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Jie Jiang

Sunspot numbers form a comprehensive, long-duration proxy of solar activity and have been used numerous times to empirically investigate the properties of the solar cycle. A number of correlations have been discovered over the 24 cycles for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Yaming Yu , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , C. Alex Young

The peculiar behaviour of the solar cycle 23 and its prolonged minima has been one of the most studied problems over the last few years. In the present paper, we study the asymmetries in active region magnetic flux in the northern and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-02-03 Juie Shetye , Durgesh Tripathi , Mausumi Dikpati
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