Multinomial logit processes and preference discovery: inside and outside the black box
Abstract
We provide two characterizations, one axiomatic and the other neuro-computational, of the dependence of choice probabilities on deadlines, within the widely used softmax representation where is the probability that alternative is selected from the set of feasible alternatives if is the time available to decide, is a time dependent noise parameter measuring the unit cost of information, is a time independent utility function, and is an alternative-specific bias that determines the initial choice probabilities reflecting prior information and memory anchoring. Our axiomatic analysis provides a behavioral foundation of softmax (also known as Multinomial Logit Model when is constant). Our neuro-computational derivation provides a biologically inspired algorithm that may explain the emergence of softmax in choice behavior. Jointly, the two approaches provide a thorough understanding of soft-maximization in terms of internal causes (neurophysiological mechanisms) and external effects (testable implications).
Cite
@article{arxiv.2004.13376,
title = {Multinomial logit processes and preference discovery: inside and outside the black box},
author = {Simone Cerreia-Vioglio and Fabio Maccheroni and Massimo Marinacci and Aldo Rustichini},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.13376},
year = {2021}
}