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We illustrate the detrimental effect, such as overconfident decisions, that exponential behavior can have in methods like classical LDA and logistic regression. We then show how polynomiality can remedy the situation. This, among others,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Ziqi Wang , Marco Loog

The classical logit dynamic on a continuous action space for decision-making un-der uncertainty is generalized to the dynamic where the exponential function for the softmax part has been replaced by a rational one that includes the former…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Hidekazu Yoshioka , Motoh Tsujimura , Yumi Yoshioka

Decision makers often opt for the deferral outside option when they find it difficult to make an active choice. Contrary to existing logit models with an outside option where the latter is assigned a fixed value exogenously, this paper…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-17 Georgios Gerasimou

The mixed multinomial logit model assumes constant preference parameters of a decision-maker throughout different choice situations, which may be considered too strong for certain choice modelling applications. This paper proposes an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-30 Mirosława Łukawska , Anders Fjendbo Jensen , Filipe Rodrigues

In state-of-the-art deep learning for object recognition, SoftMax and Sigmoid functions are most commonly employed as the predictor outputs. Such layers often produce overconfident predictions rather than proper probabilistic scores, which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-13 Gledson Melotti , Cristiano Premebida , Jordan J. Bird , Diego R. Faria , Nuno Gonçalves

With an eye towards human-centered automation, we contribute to the development of a systematic means to infer features of human decision-making from behavioral data. Motivated by the common use of softmax selection in models of human…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Paul Reverdy , Naomi E. Leonard

Recent neural network and language models rely on softmax distributions with an extremely large number of categories. Since calculating the softmax normalizing constant in this context is prohibitively expensive, there is a growing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-26 Francois Fagan , Garud Iyengar

Neural networks utilize the softmax as a building block in classification tasks, which contains an overconfidence problem and lacks an uncertainty representation ability. As a Bayesian alternative to the softmax, we consider a random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Taejong Joo , Uijung Chung , Min-Gwan Seo

Despite great popularity of applying softmax to map the non-normalised outputs of a neural network to a probability distribution over predicting classes, this normalised exponential transformation still seems to be artificial. A theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Zhenyue Qin , Dongwoo Kim

Motivated by applications in retail, online advertising, and cultural markets, this paper studies how to find the optimal assortment and positioning of products subject to a capacity constraint. We prove that the optimal assortment and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Andres Abeliuk , Gerardo Berbeglia , Manuel Cebrian , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Robust optimization is a popular paradigm for modeling and solving two- and multi-stage decision-making problems affected by uncertainty. In many real-world applications, the time of information discovery is decision-dependent and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Phebe Vayanos , Angelos Georghiou , Han Yu

Articles in Marketing and choice literatures have demonstrated the need for incorporating person-level heterogeneity into behavioral models (e.g., logit models for multiple binary outcomes as studied here). However, the logit likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Steven J. Miller , Eric T. Bradlow , Kevin Dayaratna

The softmax function is a fundamental building block of deep neural networks, commonly used to define output distributions in classification tasks or attention weights in transformer architectures. Despite its widespread use and proven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Wojciech Masarczyk , Mateusz Ostaszewski , Tin Sum Cheng , Tomasz Trzciński , Aurelien Lucchi , Razvan Pascanu

A key property of reasoning systems is the ability to make sharp decisions on their input data. For contemporary AI systems, a key carrier of sharp behaviour is the softmax function, with its capability to perform differentiable query-key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Petar Veličković , Christos Perivolaropoulos , Federico Barbero , Razvan Pascanu

Using results from neurobiology on perceptual decision making and value-based decision making, the problem of decision making between lotteries is reformulated in an abstract space where uncertain prospects are mapped to corresponding…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-03 Adnan Rebei

Different voters behave differently, different governments make different decisions, or different organizations are ruled differently. Many research questions important to political scientists concern choice behavior, which involves dealing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Gerhard Tutz , Ingrid Mauerer

We present a latent variable model for classification that provides a novel probabilistic interpretation of neural network softmax classifiers. We derive a variational objective to train the model, analogous to the evidence lower bound…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Shehzaad Dhuliawala , Mrinmaya Sachan , Carl Allen

We consider a sequential assortment selection problem where the user choice is given by a multinomial logit (MNL) choice model whose parameters are unknown. In each period, the learning agent observes a $d$-dimensional contextual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-26 Min-hwan Oh , Garud Iyengar

In applications such as recommendation systems and revenue management, it is important to predict preferences on items that have not been seen by a user or predict outcomes of comparisons among those that have never been compared. A popular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-29 Sewoong Oh , Kiran K. Thekumparampil , Jiaming Xu

We consider assortment optimization over a continuous spectrum of products represented by the unit interval, where the seller's problem consists of determining the optimal subset of products to offer to potential customers. To describe the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-15 Yannik Peeters , Arnoud V. den Boer , Michel Mandjes
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