English

Fluctuation theory for Markov random walks

Probability 2017-06-13 v2

Abstract

Two fundamental theorems by Spitzer/Erickson and Kesten/Maller on the fluctuation type (positive divergence, negative divergence or oscillation) of a real-valued random walk (Sn)n0(S_{n})_{n\ge 0} with iid increments X1,X2,X_{1},X_{2},\ldots and the existence of moments of various related quantities like the first passage into [x,)[x,\infty) and the last exit time from (,x](-\infty,x] for arbitrary xRx\in\mathbb{R}_{\geqslant} are studied in the Markov-modulated situation when the XnX_{n} are governed by a positive recurrent Markov chain M=(Mn)n0M=(M_{n})_{n\ge 0} on a countable state space S\mathcal{S}, thus for a Markov random walk (Mn,Sn)n0(M_{n},S_{n})_{n\ge 0}. Our approach is based on the natural strategy to draw on the results in the iid case for the embedded ordinary random walks (Sτn(i))n0(S_{\tau_{n}(i)})_{n\ge 0}, where τ1(i),τ2(i),\tau_{1}(i),\tau_{2}(i),\ldots denote the successive return times of MM to state ii, and an analysis of the excursions of the walk between these epochs. However, due to these excursions, generalizations of the afore-mentioned theorems are not one-to-one extensions of those in the iid case and cannot be as illustrated by a number of counterexamples. In fact, various excursion measures will have to be introduced so as to characterize the existence of moments of different quantities.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1608.08377,
  title  = {Fluctuation theory for Markov random walks},
  author = {Gerold Alsmeyer and Fabian Buckmann},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1608.08377},
  year   = {2017}
}

Comments

64 pages, 1 figure

R2 v1 2026-06-22T15:34:45.621Z