English

Early Stopping Based on Repeated Significance

Methodology 2024-08-05 v1 Machine Learning

Abstract

For a bucket test with a single criterion for success and a fixed number of samples or testing period, requiring a pp-value less than a specified value of α\alpha for the success criterion produces statistical confidence at level 1α1 - \alpha. For multiple criteria, a Bonferroni correction that partitions α\alpha among the criteria produces statistical confidence, at the cost of requiring lower pp-values for each criterion. The same concept can be applied to decisions about early stopping, but that can lead to strict requirements for pp-values. We show how to address that challenge by requiring criteria to be successful at multiple decision points.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2408.00908,
  title  = {Early Stopping Based on Repeated Significance},
  author = {Eric Bax and Arundhyoti Sarkar and Alex Shtoff},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2408.00908},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T18:01:34.431Z