English

Cost-Aware Optimized Front-Door Experimental Design

Methodology 2026-03-24 v1 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

Causal effect estimation often succeeds cost-constrained sequential data collection. This work considers multivariate linear front-door models with arbitrary unobserved confounding on treatment and response. We optimize the experimental design by balancing the statistical efficiency and measurement costs through partial data. The full-data efficient influence function for the causal effect is derived, together with the geometry of all observed-data influence functions. This characterization yields a closed-form optimal sampling policy and an estimator to minimize the asymptotic variance of regular asymptotically linear (RAL) estimators within a class of augmented full-data influence functions. The resulting design also covers back-door estimation. In simulations and applications to biological, medical, and industrial datasets, the optimized designs achieve substantial efficiency gains (5.3%5.3\% to 31.9%31.9\%) over naive full-sampling strategies.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.22024,
  title  = {Cost-Aware Optimized Front-Door Experimental Design},
  author = {Leopold Mareis and Mathias Drton},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.22024},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

This article will be published in the proceedings of CLeaR 2026

R2 v1 2026-07-01T11:33:24.458Z