Cost-Aware Optimized Front-Door Experimental Design
Abstract
Causal effect estimation often succeeds cost-constrained sequential data collection. This work considers multivariate linear front-door models with arbitrary unobserved confounding on treatment and response. We optimize the experimental design by balancing the statistical efficiency and measurement costs through partial data. The full-data efficient influence function for the causal effect is derived, together with the geometry of all observed-data influence functions. This characterization yields a closed-form optimal sampling policy and an estimator to minimize the asymptotic variance of regular asymptotically linear (RAL) estimators within a class of augmented full-data influence functions. The resulting design also covers back-door estimation. In simulations and applications to biological, medical, and industrial datasets, the optimized designs achieve substantial efficiency gains ( to ) over naive full-sampling strategies.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2603.22024,
title = {Cost-Aware Optimized Front-Door Experimental Design},
author = {Leopold Mareis and Mathias Drton},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.22024},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
This article will be published in the proceedings of CLeaR 2026