A Coin-Tossing Conundrum
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2017-10-04 v1 Probability
Abstract
It is shown that an equiprobability hypothesis leads to a scenario in which it is possible to predict the outcome of a single toss of a fair coin with a success probability greater than 50%. We discuss whether this hypothesis might be independent of the usual hypotheses governing probability, as well as whether this hypothesis might be assumed as a result of the Principle of Indifference. Also discussed are ways to implement or circumvent the hypothesis.
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Cite
@article{arxiv.1710.01298,
title = {A Coin-Tossing Conundrum},
author = {James Stein and Leonard M. Wapner},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1710.01298},
year = {2017}
}
Comments
14 pages, 2 figures