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Linear causal models are important tools for modeling causal dependencies and yet in practice, only a subset of the variables can be observed. In this paper, we examine the parameter identifiability of these models by investigating whether…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Xinshuai Dong , Ignavier Ng , Biwei Huang , Yuewen Sun , Songyao Jin , Roberto Legaspi , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

Genetic recombination is one of the most important mechanisms that can generate and maintain diversity, and recombination information plays an important role in population genetic studies. However, the phenomenon of recombination is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Xian Chen , Zhi-Ming Ma , Ying Wang

Given a solution to a recursive distributional equation, a natural (and non-trivial) question is whether the corresponding recursive tree process is endogenous. That is, whether the random environment almost surely defines the tree process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Victor Kleptsyn , Michele Triestino

Survival analysis concerns the task of predicting the time until an event occurs. Often used in the medical field, survival analysis deals with incomplete (i.e., censored) data, for instance, from patients who did not experience the event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Thalea Schlender , Peter A. N. Bosman , Tanja Alderliesten

The standard coalescent is widely used in evolutionary biology and population genetics to model the ancestral history of a sample of molecular sequences as a rooted and ranked binary tree. In this paper, we present a representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Mackenzie Simper , Julia A. Palacios

Using topological summaries of gene trees as a basis for species tree inference is a promising approach to obtain acceptable speed on genomic-scale datasets, and to avoid some undesirable modeling assumptions. Here we study the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-17 Elizabeth S. Allman , James H. Degnan , John A. Rhodes

We introduce a statistical mechanics formalism for the study of constrained graph evolution as a Markovian stochastic process, in analogy with that available for spin systems, deriving its basic properties and highlighting the role of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. C. C. Coolen , A. De Martino , A. Annibale

Coalescent models of bifurcating genealogies are used to infer evolutionary parameters from molecular data. However, there are many situations where bifurcating genealogies do not accurately reflect the true underlying ancestral history of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Julie Zhang , Noah A. Rosenberg , Julia A. Palacios

Repetitions within a given genealogical tree provides some information about the degree of consanguineity of a population. They can be analyzed with techniques usually employed in statistical physics when dealing with fixed point…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Paolo De Los Rios , Oscar Pla

We consider the problem of change-point detection in multivariate time-series. The multivariate distribution of the observations is supposed to follow a graphical model, whose graph and parameters are affected by abrupt changes throughout…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-20 Loïc Schwaller , Stéphane Robin

Models with intractable normalizing functions arise frequently in statistics. Common examples of such models include exponential random graph models for social networks and Markov point processes for ecology and disease modeling. Inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Identifiability concerns finding which unknown parameters of a model can be estimated from given input-output data. If some subset of the parameters of a model cannot be determined given input-output data, then we say the model is…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Nicolette Meshkat , Seth Sullivant , Marisa Eisenberg

Semi-supervised learning on graphs is a widely applicable problem in network science and machine learning. Two standard algorithms -- label propagation and graph neural networks -- both operate by repeatedly passing information along edges,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We propose a numerical technique for parameter inference in Markov models of biological processes. Based on time-series data of a process we estimate the kinetic rate constants by maximizing the likelihood of the data. The computation of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-02-15 Aleksandr Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , David Spieler , Verena Wolf

The parameters of a linear compartment model are usually estimated from experimental input-output data. A problem arises when infinitely many parameter values can yield the same result; such a model is called unidentifiable. In this case,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Jasmijn A. Baaijens , Jan Draisma

Markov chains are simple yet powerful mathematical structures to model temporally dependent processes. They generally assume stationary data, i.e., fixed transition probabilities between observations/states. However, live, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Kutalmış Coşkun , Borahan Tümer , Bjarne C. Hiller , Martin Becker

In this work, we consider an extension of graphical models to random graphs, trees, and other objects. To do this, many fundamental concepts for multivariate random variables (e.g., marginal variables, Gibbs distribution, Markov properties)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-08 Neil Hallonquist

We provide a new approach for proving the indistinguishability of connected components of random one-or-two-ended oriented forests on unimodular random graphs. In particular, this approach leads to a new and simpler proof for the wired…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Francois Baccelli , Ali Khezeli

The idea of "stratified medicine" is an important driver of methodological research on the identification of predictive biomarkers. Most methods proposed so far for this purpose have been developed for the use on randomized data only.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Julia Krzykalla , Axel Benner , Annette Kopp-Schneider