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We consider the problem of inferring an ancestral state from observations at the leaves of a tree, assuming the state evolves along the tree according to a two-state symmetric Markov process. We establish a general branching rate condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Sebastien Roch , Kun-Chieh Wang

We study various classes of random processes defined on the regular tree $T_d$ that are invariant under the automorphism group of $T_d$. Most important ones are factor of i.i.d. processes (randomized local algorithms), branching Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Ágnes Backhausz , Balázs Szegedy

A linear structural equation model relates random variables of interest and corresponding Gaussian noise terms via a linear equation system. Each such model can be represented by a mixed graph in which directed edges encode the linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-04 Rina Foygel , Jan Draisma , Mathias Drton

This paper introduces a new combinatorial framework for modeling the growth of binary trees through a discrete evolution process that incorporates a growing rule and an extinction rule. Building upon the theory of increasingly labeled…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Olivier Bodini , Antoine Genitrini , Khaydar Nurligareev

In the last years, algebraic tools have been proven useful in phylogenetic reconstruction and model selection through the study of phylogenetic invariants. However, up to now, the models studied from an algebraic viewpoint are either too…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-16 Marta Casanellas , Roser Homs Pons , Angélica Torres

Decision trees are commonly used predictive models due to their flexibility and interpretability. This paper is directed at quantifying the uncertainty of decision tree predictions by employing a Bayesian inference approach. This is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Jodie A. Cochrane , Adrian Wills , Sarah J. Johnson

This paper investigates a change-point estimation problem in the context of high-dimensional Markov Random Field models. Change-points represent a key feature in many dynamically evolving network structures. The change-point estimate is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Sandipan Roy , Yves Atchade , George Michailidis

Invariances to translations have imbued convolutional neural networks with powerful generalization properties. However, we often do not know a priori what invariances are present in the data, or to what extent a model should be invariant to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Gregory Benton , Marc Finzi , Pavel Izmailov , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The standard approach to estimate species trees is to align a selected set of genes, concatenate the alignments and then estimate a consensus tree. However, individual genes contain differing levels of evolutionary information, either…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-29 Ali Amiryousefi

We study the asymptotic number of certain monotonically labeled increasing trees arising from a generalized evolution process. The main difference between the presented model and the classical model of binary increasing trees is that the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Olivier Bodini , Antoine Genitrini , Bernhard Gittenberger , Stephan Wagner

Enriching Brownian motion with regenerations from a fixed regeneration distribution $\mu$ at a particular regeneration rate $\kappa$ results in a Markov process that has a target distribution $\pi$ as its invariant distribution. For the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-22 Hector McKimm , Andi Q Wang , Murray Pollock , Christian P Robert , Gareth O Roberts

We explore model based techniques of phylogenetic tree inference exercising Markov invariants. Markov invariants are group invariant polynomials and are distinct from what is known in the literature as phylogenetic invariants, although we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-24 J. G. Sumner , M. A. Charleston , L. S. Jermiin , P. D. Jarvis

We consider a stationary Markovian evolution with values on a disjointly partitioned set space $I\sqcup {\cal E}$. The evolution is visible (in the sense of knowing the transition probabilities) on the states in $I$ but not for the states…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-30 Pierre Collet , Servet Martínez

Phylogenetic networks generalise phylogenetic trees and allow for the accurate representation of the evolutionary history of a set of present-day species whose past includes reticulate events such as hybridisation and lateral gene transfer.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-05 Joan Carles Pons , Charles Semple , Mike Steel

Existing genetic programming (GP) methods are typically designed based on a certain representation, such as tree-based or linear representations. These representations show various pros and cons in different domains. However, due to the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Zhixing Huang , Yi Mei , Fangfang Zhang , Mengjie Zhang , Wolfgang Banzhaf

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

Evolution has fascinated quantitative and physical scientists for decades: how can the random process of mutation, recombination, and duplication of genetic information generate the diversity of life? What determines the rate of evolution?…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-23 Richard A. Neher , Aleksandra M. Walczak

In genome-wide prediction, independence of marker allele substitution effects is typically assumed; however, since early stages of this technology it has been known that nature points to correlated effects. In statistics, graphical models…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-21 Carlos Alberto Martínez , Kshitij Khare , Syed Rahman , Mauricio A. Elzo

Various and ubiquitous information systems are being used in monitoring, exchanging, and collecting information. These systems are generating massive amount of event sequence logs that may help us understand underlying phenomenon. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-13 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

We give a generalization to a continuous setting of the classic Markov chain tree Theorem. In particular, we consider an irreducible diffusion process on a metric graph. The unique invariant measure has an atomic component on the vertices…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Michele Aleandri , Matteo Colangeli , Davide Gabrielli
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