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Influenza A is a serious disease that causes significant morbidity and mortality, and vaccines against the seasonal influenza disease are of variable effectiveness. In this paper, we discuss use of the $p_{\rm epitope}$ method to predict…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-22 Xi Li , Michael W. Deem

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

Vaccination has been proven to be the most effective method to prevent infectious diseases. However, in many low and middle-income countries with geographically dispersed and nomadic populations, last-mile vaccine delivery can be extremely…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-30 Yuwen Yang , Jayant Rajgopal

Several recent studies have tackled the issue of optimal network immunization by providing efficient criteria to identify key nodes to be removed in order to break apart a network, thus preventing the occurrence of extensive epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-22 Giovanni Strona , Claudio Castellano

Knowledge of the severity of an influenza outbreak is crucial for informing and monitoring appropriate public health responses, both during and after an epidemic. However, case-fatality, case-intensive care admission and…

The problem of targeted network immunization can be defined as the one of finding a subset of nodes in a network to immunize or vaccinate in order to minimize a tradeoff between the cost of vaccination and the final (stationary) expected…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-10 F. Altarelli , A. Braunstein , L. Dall'Asta , J. R. Wakeling , R. Zecchina

Epidemic control is of great importance for human society. Adjusting interacting partners is an effective individualized control strategy. Intuitively, it is done either by shortening the interaction time between susceptible and infected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-28 Bin Wu , Shanjun Mao , Jiazeng Wang , Da Zhou

We investigated the negative relationship between mortality and COVID-19 vaccination at ecological level, which has been established through clinical trials and other investigations at the individual level. We conducted an exploratory,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-26 Cosima Rughinis , Mihai Dima , Simona-Nicoleta Vulpe , Razvan Rughinis , Sorina Vasile

Optimal strategies for epidemic containment are focused on dismantling the contact network through effective immunization with minimal costs. However, network fragmentation is seldom accessible in practice and may present extreme side…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-26 Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

In previous articles, we formalized the problem of optimal allocation strategies for a (perfect) vaccine in an infinite-dimensional metapopulation model. The aim of the current paper is to illustrate this theoretical framework with multiple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

We present a study of the worldwide spread of a pandemic influenza and its possible containment at a global level taking into account all available information on air travel. We studied a metapopulation stochastic epidemic model on a global…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Vittoria Colizza , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy , Alain-Jacques Valleron , Alessandro Vespignani

Optimization of vaccine allocations among different segments of a heterogeneous population is important for enhancing the effectiveness of vaccination campaigns in reducing the burden of epidemics. Intuitively, it would seem that…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-01 Nir Gavish , Guy Katriel

A new age-distributed immuno-epidemiological model with information-based vaccine uptake suggested in this work represents a system of integro-differential equations for the numbers of susceptible individuals, infected individuals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-02 Samiran Ghosh , Malay Banerjee , Vitaly Volpert

In this work we analyze the evolution of voluntary vaccination in networked populations by entangling the spreading dynamics of an influenza-like disease with an evolutionary framework taking place at the end of each influenza season so…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Alessio Cardillo , Catalina Reyes-Suárez , Fernando Naranjo , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

If we can lower the number of people needed to vaccinate for a community to be immune against contagious diseases, we can save resources and life. A key to reach such a lower threshold of immunization is to find and vaccinate people who,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-10 Sungmin Lee , Luis E. C. Rocha , Fredrik Liljeros , Petter Holme

We introduce and discuss a minimal individual-based model for influenza dynamics. The model takes into account the effects of specific immunization against viral strains, but also infectivity randomness and the presence of a short-lived…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 Francesca Tria , Michael Laessig , Luca Peliti , Silvio Franz

In this paper, we present a decision support framework for optimizing multiple aspects of vaccine distribution across a multitier cold chain network. We propose two multi-period optimization formulations within this framework: first to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-12 Shanmukhi Sripada , Ayush Jain , Prasanna Ramamoorthy , Varun Ramamohan

The outbreak of COVID-19 led to a record-breaking race to develop a vaccine. However, the limited vaccine capacity creates another massive challenge: how to distribute vaccines to mitigate the near-end impact of the pandemic? In the United…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-20 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vassilis Digalakis , Alexander Jacquillat , Michael Lingzhi Li , Alessandro Previero

By analysing the diffusive dynamics of epidemics and of distress in complex networks, we study the effect of the assortativity on the robustness of the networks. We first determine by spectral analysis the thresholds above which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-26 Gregorio D'Agostino , Antonio Scala , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

In this paper, we study the control of the traffic-driven epidemic spreading by immunization strategy. We consider the random, degree-based and betweeness-based immunization strategies, respectively. It is found that the betweeness-based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Han-Xin Yang , Bing-Hong Wang
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