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In the face of serious infectious diseases, governments endeavour to implement containment measures such as public vaccination at a macroscopic level. Meanwhile, individuals tend to protect themselves by avoiding contacts with infections at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-20 Xiao-Long Peng , Xin-Jian Xu , Michael Small , Xinchu Fu , Zhen Jin

This paper presents a vaccination-based control strategy for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model. The model takes into account the total population amounts as a refrain for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-28 M. De la Sen , A. Ibeas , S. Alonso-Quesada

Non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), and in particular social distancing, in conjunction with the advent of effective vaccines at the end of 2020, aspired for the development of a protective immunity shield against the spread of…

In this study, we present an immuno-epidemic model to understand mitigation options during an epidemic break. The model incorporates comorbidity and multiple-vaccine doses through a system of coupled integro-differential equations to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Samiran Ghosh , Malay Banerjee , Amit K Chattopadhyay

In temperate climates, mortality is seasonal with a winter-dominant pattern, due in part to pneumonia and influenza. Cardiac causes, which are the leading cause of death in the United States, are also winter-seasonal although it is not…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-17 Tina Ho , Andrew Noymer

Effective vaccine prioritization is critical for epidemic control, yet real outbreaks exhibit memory effects that inflate state space and make long-term prediction and optimization challenging. As a result, many strategies are tuned to…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-11-11 Mi Feng , Liang Tian , Changsong Zhou

This study explores the vaccine prioritization strategy to reduce the overall burden of the pandemic when the supply is limited. Existing methods conduct macro-level or simplified micro-level vaccine distribution by assuming the homogeneous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Lu Ling , Washim Uddin Mondal , Satish V , Ukkusuri

We investigate how a population's natural and vaccine immunity affects the competitive balance between two strains of an infectious disease with different epidemiological characteristics. Specifically, we consider the case where one strain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Matthew D. Johnston , Bruce Pell , Jared Pemberton , David A. Rubel

Miss-information is usually adjusted to fit distinct narratives and can propagate rapidly through communities of interest, which work as echo chambers, cause reinforcement and foster confirmation bias. False beliefs, once adopted, are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-30 Rafael Prieto Curiel , Humberto González Ramírez

The unfolding of pandemic influenza A(H1N1) for Fall 2009 in the Northern Hemisphere is still uncertain. Plans for vaccination campaigns and vaccine trials are underway, with the first batches expected to be available early October. Several…

Balancing social utility and equity in distributing limited vaccines represents a critical policy concern for protecting against the prolonged COVID-19 pandemic. What is the nature of the trade-off between maximizing collective welfare and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Lin Chen , Fengli Xu , Zhenyu Han , Kun Tang , Pan Hui , James Evans , Yong Li

A Reed-Frost epidemic with inhomogeneous infection probabilities on a graph with prescribed degree distribution is studied. Each edge $(u,v)$ in the graph is equipped with two weights $W_{(u,v)}$ and $W_{(v,u)}$ that represent the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Maria Deijfen

This study presents a family of stochastic models for the dynamics of influenza in a closed human population. We consider treatment for the disease in the form of vaccination, and incorporate the periods of effectiveness of the vaccine and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

Voluntary vaccination is essential to protect oneself from infection and suppress the spread of infectious diseases. Voluntary vaccination behavior is influenced by factors such as age and interaction patterns. Differences in health…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-11 Yanyi Nie , Tao Lin , Yanbing Liu , Wei Wang

Background: Information on influenza-associated mortality in Russia is limited. Methods: Using previously developed methodology (Goldstein et al., Epidemiology 2012), we regressed the monthly rates of mortality for respiratory causes, as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-28 Edward Goldstein

We consider the problem of controlling the propagation of an epidemic outbreak in an arbitrary contact network by distributing vaccination resources throughout the network. We analyze a networked version of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Victor M. Preciado , Michael Zargham , Chinwendu Enyioha , Ali Jadbabaie , George Pappas

Seasonal influenza epidemics cause consistent, considerable, widespread loss annually in terms of economic burden, morbidity, and mortality. With access to accurate and reliable forecasts of a current or upcoming influenza epidemic's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Logan C. Brooks , David C. Farrow , Sangwon Hyun , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Roni Rosenfeld

Recent Covid-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need of efficient epidemic outbreak management. We study the optimal control problem of minimizing the fraction of infected population by applying vaccination and treatment control strategies,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Jagtap Kalyani Devendra , Kundan Kandhway

The waning of immunity after recovery or vaccination is a major factor accounting for the severity and prolonged duration of an array of epidemics, ranging from COVID-19 to diphtheria and pertussis. To study the effectiveness of different…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Shoshana Elgart

Vaccination is an important measure available for preventing or reducing the spread of infectious diseases. In this paper, an epidemic model including susceptible, infected, and imperfectly vaccinated compartments is studied on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Xiao-Long Peng , Xin-Jian Xu , Xinchu Fu , Tao Zhou
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