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A central challenge in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) public health policy lies in determining whether to universally expand treatment access, despite the risk of sub-optimal adherence and consequent drug resistance, or to adopt a more…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-16 Ashish Poonia , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Population dynamics and evolutionary genetics underly the structure of ecosystems, changing on the same timescale for interacting species with rapid turnover, such as virus (e.g. HIV) and immune response. Thus, an important problem in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-17 Cameron J. Browne , Fadoua Yahia

We develop a new perturbation method for studying quasi-neutral competition in a broad class of stochastic competition models, and apply it to the analysis of fixation of competing strains in two epidemic models. The first model is a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-06 Oleg Kogan , Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , David Schneider , Christopher R. Myers

An interesting inference drawn by some Covid-19 epidemiological models is that there exists a proportion of the population who are not susceptible to infection -- even at the start of the current pandemic. This paper introduces a model of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-18 Thomas Parr , Anjali Bhat , Peter Zeidman , Aimee Goel , Alexander J. Billig , Rosalyn Moran , Karl J. Friston

Antibodies play an essential role in the immune response to viral infections, vaccination, or antibody therapy. Nevertheless, they can be either protective or harmful during the immune response. Moreover, competition or cooperation between…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-21 Charlotte Dugourd-Camus , Claudia P. Ferreira , Mostafa Adimy

In this paper we consider the evolution of the HIV infection under a highly effective treatment based on a combination of RTI and/or PI drugs. This is usually modelled with a set of ODEs where the drug efficacy is a constant. In this paper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 G. Della Rocca , M. Sammartino , L. Seta

In this letter we study the full semi-conservative treatment of a model for the co-evolution of a virus and an adaptive immune system. Regions of viability are calculated for both conservatively and semi-conservatively replicating viruses…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Yisroel Brumer , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

The probability that an advantageous mutant rises to fixation in a viral quasispecies is investigated in the framework of multi-type branching processes. Whether fixation is possible depends on the overall growth rate of the quasispecies…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Claus O. Wilke

In this paper, we develop a dynamic model of HIV infection that incorporates latent hosts, cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) immunity, saturated incidence rates, and two transmission mechanisms: virus-to-cell and cell-to-cell transmission. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Songbo Hou , Xinxin Tian

Like many chronic diseases, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is managed over time at regular clinic visits. At each visit, patient features are assessed, treatments are prescribed, and a subsequent visit is scheduled. There is a need for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Arman Oganisian , Joseph Hogan , Edwin Sang , Allison DeLong , Ben Mosong , Hamish Fraser , Ann Mwangi

We have developed a mathematical model for in-host virus dynamics that includes spatial chemotaxis and diffusion across a two dimensional surface representing the vaginal or rectal epithelium at primary HIV infection. A linear stability…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-07 Ognjen Stancevic , Christopher Angstmann , John M. Murray , Bruce I. Henry

We study the spread of multi-competitive viruses over a (possibly) time-varying network of individuals accounting for the presence of shared infrastructure networks that further enables transmission of the virus. We establish a sufficient…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-17 Sebin Gracy , Yuan Wang , Philip E. Pare , Cesar A Uribe

We investigate the competition dynamics of two microbial or viral strains that live in an environment that switches periodically between two states. One of the strains is adapted to the long-term environment, but pays a short-term cost,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Robert Forster , Claus O. Wilke

We consider a Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) model with a logistic growth term and continue the analysis of the previous article [6]. We now take the viral diffusion in a two-dimensional environment. The model consists of two ODEs for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-11-02 Claude-Michel Brauner , Xinyue Fan , Luca Lorenzi

Infectious disease spread is a multi-scale process composed of within-host (biological) and between-host (social) drivers and disentangling them from each other is a central challenge in epidemiology. Here, we introduce VIBES, a multi-scale…

Coinfection is the process by which a host that is infected with a pathogen becomes infected by a second pathogen at a later point in time. An immunosuppressant host response to a primary disease can facilitate spreading of a subsequent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-14 Peter Mann , Anne Smith , John Mitchell , Simon Dobson

Different pathogens spreading in the same host population often generate complex co-circulation dynamics because of the many possible interactions between the pathogens and the host immune system, the host life cycle, and the space…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-18 Chiara Poletto , Sandro Meloni , Ashleigh Van Metre , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani

This paper studies a distributed continuous-time bi-virus model in which two competing viruses spread over a network consisting of multiple groups of individuals. Limiting behaviors of the network are characterized by analyzing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-04 Ji Liu , Philip E. Pare , Angelia Nedich , Choon Yik Tang , Carolyn L. Beck , Tamer Basar

Despite being similar in structure, functioning, and size viral pathogens enjoy very different mostly well-defined ways of life. They occupy their hosts for a few days (influenza), for a few weeks (measles), or even lifelong (HCV), which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Alexander Lange

Viruses like influenza have long coevolved with host immune systems, gradually shaping the evolutionary trajectory of these pathogens. Host immune systems develop immunity against circulating strains, which in turn avoid extinction by…