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Various and ubiquitous information systems are being used in monitoring, exchanging, and collecting information. These systems are generating massive amount of event sequence logs that may help us understand underlying phenomenon. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-13 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

Even simply-defined, finite-state generators produce stochastic processes that require tracking an uncountable infinity of probabilistic features for optimal prediction. For processes generated by hidden Markov chains the consequences are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-15 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

Markov Chains with variable length are useful stochastic models for data compression that avoid the curse of dimensionality faced by that full Markov Chains. In this paper we introduce a Variable Length Markov Chain whose transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Seonjin Kim , Nancy Lopes Garcia

We are interested in the dynamic of a structured branching population where the trait of each individual moves according to a Markov process. The rate of division of each individual is a function of its trait and when a branching event…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Aline Marguet

Recently there has been renewed interest in phylogenetic inference methods based on phylogenetic invariants, alongside the related Markov invariants. Broadly speaking, both these approaches give rise to polynomial functions of sequence site…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-31 Jeremy G Sumner , Amelia Taylor , Barbara R Holland , Peter D Jarvis

We consider a stochastic evolutionary model for a phenotype developing amongst n related species with unknown phylogeny. The unknown tree is modelled by a Yule process conditioned on n contemporary nodes. The trait value is assumed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-23 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Serik Sagitov

We derive a Poisson random field model for population site polymorphisms differences within and between two species that share a relatively recent common ancestor. The model can be either equilibrium or time inhomogeneous. We first consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Amei Amei , Stanley Sawyer

Molecular phylogeny has focused mainly on improving models for the reconstruction of gene trees based on sequence alignments. Yet, most phylogeneticists seek to reveal the history of species. Although the histories of genes and species are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-05 Gergely J. Szöllosi , Eric Tannier , Vincent Daubin , Bastien Boussau

One approach to estimating a species tree from a collection of gene trees is to first estimate probabilities of clades from the gene trees, and then to construct the species tree from the estimated clade probabilities. While a greedy…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-14 Elizabeth S. Allman , James H. Degnan , John A. Rhodes

In this work, we study a family of non-Markovian trees modeling populations where individuals live and reproduce independently with possibly time-dependent birth-rate and lifetime distribution. To this end, we use the coding process…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-26 Bertrand Cloez , Benoît Henry

We study an atomic signaling game under stochastic evolutionary dynamics. There is a finite number of players who repeatedly update from a finite number of available languages/signaling strategies. Players imitate the most fit agents with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Michael J. Fox , Behrouz Touri , Jeff S. Shamma

When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This can be done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-24 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

Recent work has discussed the importance of multiplicative closure for the Markov models used in phylogenetics. For continuous-time Markov chains, a sufficient condition for multiplicative closure of a model class is ensured by demanding…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-24 Jeremy Sumner , Jesus Fernandez-Sanchez , Peter Jarvis

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We derive a finite-sample probabilistic bound on the parameter estimation error of a system identification algorithm for Linear Switched Systems. The algorithm estimates Markov parameters from a single trajectory and applies a variant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Daniel Racz , Mihaly Petreczky , Balint Daroczy

Reconstructing a parsimonious phylogenetic network that displays multiple phylogenetic trees is an important problem in theory of phylogenetics, where the complexity of the inferred networks is measured by reticulation numbers. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-27 Yufeng Wu , Louxin Zhang

Species richness varies widely across the tree of life, and there is great interest in identifying ecological, geographic, and other factors that affect rates of species proliferation. Recent methods for explicitly modeling the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-23 Daniel L. Rabosky , Emma E. Goldberg

Ancestral sequence reconstruction is a key task in computational biology. It consists in inferring a molecular sequence at an ancestral species of a known phylogeny, given descendant sequences at the tip of the tree. In addition to its many…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-27 Brandon Legried , Sebastien Roch

The deterministic dynamics of randomly connected neural networks are studied, where a state of binary neurons evolves according to a discreet-time synchronous update rule. We give a theoretical support that the overlap of systems' states…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-10 Taro Toyoizumi , Haiping Huang

The properties of randomly evolving special trees having defined and analyzed already in two earlier papers (arXiv:cond-mat/0205650 and arXiv:cond-mat/0211092) have been investigated in the case when the continuous time parameter converges…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Pal