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The creation of fictional stories is a very complex task that usually implies a creative process where the author has to combine characters, conflicts and plots to create an engaging narrative. This work presents a simulated environment…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-03-14 R. H. García-Ortega , P. García-Sánchez , J. J. Merelo

Consider a collection of random variables attached to the vertices of a graph. The reconstruction problem requires to estimate one of them given `far away' observations. Several theoretical results (and simple algorithms) are available when…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-10 Antoine Gerschenfeld , Andrea Montanari

The reconstruction of a species tree from genomic data faces a double hurdle. First, the (gene) tree describing the evolution of each gene may differ from the species tree, for instance, due to incomplete lineage sorting. Second, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Sebastien Roch , Mike Steel

We show that each member of a broad class of Markovian population models induces a unique stochastic process on the space of genealogies. We construct this genealogy process and derive exact expressions for the likelihood of an observed…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-22 Aaron A. King , Qianying Lin , Edward L. Ionides

Phylogenetic trees describe the relationships between species in the evolutionary process, and provide information about the rates of diversification. To understand the mechanisms behind macroevolution, we consider a class of multitype…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-07 Mingqi He , Sophie Hautphenne , Yao-ban Chan

Pedigrees are directed acyclic graphs that represent ancestral relationships between individuals in a population. Based on a schematic recombination process, we describe two simple Markov models for sequences evolving on pedigrees - Model R…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-18 Bhalchandra D. Thatte

Maximum likelihood estimators are used extensively to estimate unknown parameters of stochastic trait evolution models on phylogenetic trees. Although the MLE has been proven to converge to the true value in the independent-sample case, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-26 Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard

We investigate the capacity of transformers to learn algorithms involving their context while solely being trained using next token prediction. We set up Markov chains with random transition matrices and we train transformers to predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Simon Lepage , Jeremie Mary , David Picard

Phylogenetic trees elucidate evolutionary relationships among species, but phylogenetic inference remains challenging due to the complexity of combining continuous (branch lengths) and discrete parameters (tree topology). Traditional Markov…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-30 ChenRui Duan , Zelin Zang , Siyuan Li , Yongjie Xu , Stan Z. Li

We find upper bounds for the probability of underestimation and overestimation errors in penalized likelihood context tree estimation. The bounds are explicit and applies to processes of not necessarily finite memory. We allow for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-11 Florencia Leonardi

The problem of estimating an unknown discrete distribution from its samples is a fundamental tenet of statistical learning. Over the past decade, it attracted significant research effort and has been solved for a variety of divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky , Venkatadheeraj Pichapati

The practice of evolutionary algorithms involves the tuning of many parameters. How big should the population be? How many generations should the algorithm run? What is the (tournament selection) tournament size? What probabilities should…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Moshe Sipper , Weixuan Fu , Karuna Ahuja , Jason H. Moore

Phylogenetic trees and networks are graphs used to model evolutionary relationships, with trees representing strictly branching histories and networks allowing for events in which lineages merge, called reticulation events. While the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-17 Martin Frohn , Niels Holtgrefe , Leo van Iersel , Mark Jones , Steven Kelk

In this article we propose a novel method to estimate the frequency distribution of linguistic variables while controlling for statistical non-independence due to shared ancestry. Unlike previous approaches, our technique uses all available…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-22 Gerhard Jäger , Johannes Wahle

One of the main aims in phylogenetics is the estimation of ancestral sequences based on present-day data like, for instance, DNA alignments. One way to estimate the data of the last common ancestor of a given set of species is to first…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-07 Lina Herbst , Mareike Fischer

Motivated by techniques developed in recent progress on lower bounds for sublinear time algorithms (Behnezhad, Roghani and Rubinstein, STOC 2023, FOCS 2023, and STOC 2024) we introduce and study a new class of randomized algorithmic…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Amir Azarmehr , Soheil Behnezhad , Alma Ghafari , Madhu Sudan

Diffusion processes on trees are commonly used in evolutionary biology to model the joint distribution of continuous traits, such as body mass, across species. Estimating the parameters of such processes from tip values presents challenges…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-27 Cécile Ané , Lam Si Tung Ho , Sebastien Roch

Phylogenetic networks are increasingly used in evolutionary biology to represent the history of species that have undergone reticulate events such as horizontal gene transfer, hybrid speciation and recombination. One of the most fundamental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-07 Philippe Gambette , Leo van Iersel , Steven Kelk , Fabio Pardi , Celine Scornavacca

In biology, a phylogenetic tree is a tool to represent the evolutionary relationship between species. Unfortunately, the classical Schr\"oder tree model is not adapted to take into account the chronology between the branching nodes. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Olivier Bodini , Antoine Genitrini , Mehdi Naima

Ancestral state reconstruction is one of the most important tasks in evolutionary biology. Conditions under which we can reliably reconstruct the ancestral state have been studied for both discrete and continuous traits. However, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-16 Lam Si Tung Ho , Vu Dinh
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