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The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-27 William G. Faris

We consider the problem of individual-specific medication level recommendation (initiation, removal, increase, or decrease) for asthma sufferers. Asthma is one of the most common chronic diseases in both adults and children, affecting 8% of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-22 Curtis B Storlie , Megan E Branda , Michael R Gionfriddo , Nilay D Shah , Matthew A Rank

The mechanisms underlying the formation of post-infection sequelae are complex and remain controversial. This hypothesis integrates Bystryn's antibody feedback phenomenon and Imbiakha's immune cost theory, proposing for the first time a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-10 Shi Qiru

The term "interference" has been used to describe any setting in which one subject's exposure may affect another subject's outcome. We use causal diagrams to distinguish among three causal mechanisms that give rise to interference. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Tyler J. VanderWeele

Sepsis is a dangerous condition that is a leading cause of patient mortality. Treating sepsis is highly challenging, because individual patients respond very differently to medical interventions and there is no universally agreed-upon…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Aniruddh Raghu , Matthieu Komorowski , Sumeetpal Singh

Traditional epidemic models consider that individual processes occur at constant rates. That is, an infected individual has a constant probability per unit time of recovering from infection after contagion. This assumption certainly fails…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-18 Guillermo Abramson , Sebastian Gonçalves , Marcelo F. C. Gomes

The process of programmed cell death, namely apoptosis, is a natural mechanism that regulates healthy tissue, multicellular structures, and homeostasis. An improved understanding of apoptosis can significantly enhance our knowledge of…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-12 Daniel A. Vaughan , Anna M. Piccinini , Mischa Zelzer , Etienne Farcot , Bindi S. Brook , Kris Van-der-Zee , Luis Espath

We study how the interplay between the memory immune response and pathogen mutation affects epidemic dynamics in two related models. The first explicitly models pathogen mutation and individual memory immune responses, with contacted…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 Michelle Girvan , Duncan S. Callaway , M. E. J. Newman , Steven H. Strogatz

Mathematical modeling of biological systems is crucial to effectively and efficiently developing treatments for medical conditions that plague humanity. Often, systems of ordinary differential equations are a traditional tool used to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Eric Jones , Peter Roemer , Mrinal Raghupathi , Stephen Pankavich

In Part 1, we introduced a stochastic model of an infectious disease, based on the BDI (birth and death with immigration) process. We showed that random processes defined by this model can capture the essence of the stochastic, often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-28 Hisashi Kobayashi

A review of recent investigations into pathogenesis of psoriasis summarizing data on the relationship between the presence {\beta}-streptococci in the organism and the cutaneous immune reaction. Results of the studies on gastrointestinal…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2011-10-04 Nikolai Korotky , Mikhail Peslyak

We study the interplay between epidemic dynamics and human decision making for epidemics that involve reinfection risk; in particular, the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) and the susceptible-infected-recovered-infected (SIRI)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-31 Abhisek Satapathi , Narendra Kumar Dhar , Ashish R. Hota , Vaibhav Srivastava

Studies on how to model the interplay between diseases and behavioral responses (so-called coupled disease-behavior interaction) have attracted increasing attention. Owing to the lack of obvious clinical evidence of diseases, or the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-24 Hai-Feng Zhang , Jia-Rong Xie , Han-Shuang Chen , Can Liu , Michael Small

Sepsis is a leading cause of death in the Intensive Care Units (ICU). Early detection of sepsis is critical for patient survival. In this paper, we propose a multimodal Transformer model for early sepsis prediction, using the physiological…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Yuqing Wang , Yun Zhao , Rachael Callcut , Linda Petzold

Viral infections trigger complex immune responses with heterogeneous outcomes shaped by nonlinear feedbacks. An ordinary differential equation model is developed to investigate immune response dynamics during viral infection, incorporating…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-08 Xiaoxin Wang , Kai Kang , Leyi Zhang , Changjing Zhuge

The biological immune system is a robust, complex, adaptive system that defends the body from foreign pathogens. It is able to categorize all cells (or molecules) within the body as self-cells or non-self cells. It does this with the help…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-07-05 Uwe Aickelin , Dipankar Dasgupta

Analytical research of results of experimental and theoretical studies on pathogenesis of psoriatic disease is carried out. The new model of pathogenesis - skin reaction to systemic psoriatic process SPP is formulated. ... Psoriatic…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-20 Mikhail Peslyak

We introduce and investigate an SIS-type model for the spread of an infectious disease, where the infected population is structured with respect to the different strain of the virus/bacteria they are carrying. Our aim is to capture the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Àngel Calsina , József Z. Farkas

Some recent works reveal that there are models of differential equations for the mean and variance of infected individuals that reproduce the SIS epidemic model at some point. This stochastic SIS epidemic model can be interpreted as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Oğul Esen , Eduardo Fernández-Saiz , Cristina Sardón , Marcin Zając

An actively controlled Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (actSIS) contagion model is presented for studying epidemic dynamics with continuous-time feedback control of infection rates. Our work is inspired by the observation that epidemics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-06 Yunxiu Zhou , Simon A. Levin , Naomi E. Leonard
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