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Mathematical models are increasing adopted for setting targets for disease prevention and control. As model-informed policies are implemented, however, the inaccuracies of some forecasts become apparent, for example overprediction of…

We introduce and analyze a within-host dynamical model of the coevolution between rapidly mutating pathogens and the adaptive immune response. Pathogen mutation and a homeostatic constraint on lymphocytes both play a role in allowing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-06 Kimberly J. Schlesinger , Sean P. Stromberg , Jean M. Carlson

We consider a simple deterministic model which describes an asymmetric competition between an immune system with a specific and powerful response, and a virus with a broad toxicity and fast mutations. Interest in this model relies on the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-01-17 Thierry Gobron , Mario Santoro , Livio Triolo

We have learned to live with many potentially deadly viruses for which there is no vaccine, no immunity, and no cure. We do not live in constant fear of these viruses, instead, we have learned how to outsmart them and reduce the harm they…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-06 Julie Rowlett

Generalized language-of-thought arguments appropriate to interacting cognitive modules permit exploration of how disease states interact with medical treatment. The interpenetrating feedback between treatment and response to it creates a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Rodrick Wallace , Deborah Wallace

The vertebrate adaptive immune system provides a flexible and diverse set of molecules to neutralize pathogens. Yet, viruses such as HIV can cause chronic infections by evolving as quickly as the adaptive immune system, forming an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-22 Armita Nourmohammad , Jakub Otwinowski , Joshua B. Plotkin

We examine interacting cognitive modules of human biology which, in the asymptotic limit of long sequences of responses, define the output of an appropriate 'dual' information source. Applying a 'necessary condition' communication theory…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Rodrick Wallace

We interpret attitudes towards science and pseudosciences as cultural traits that diffuse in society through communication efforts exerted by agents. We present a tractable model that allows us to study the interaction among the diffusion…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-14 Matteo Bizzarri , Fabrizio Panebianco , Paolo Pin

One strategy for winning a coevolutionary struggle is to evolve rapidly. Most of the literature on host-pathogen coevolution focuses on this phenomenon, and looks for consequent evidence of coevolutionary arms races. An alternative…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-14 Erick Chastain , Rustom Antia , Carl T. Bergstrom

During chronic infection, HIV-1 engages in a rapid coevolutionary arms race with the host's adaptive immune system. While it is clear that HIV exerts strong selection on the adaptive immune system, the characteristics of the somatic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Armita Nourmohammad , Jakub Otwinowski , Marta Łuksza , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M Walczak

We investigate a cyclic game system where organisms face an epidemic beyond being threatened by natural enemies. As a survival strategy, individuals of one out of the species usually safeguard themselves by approaching the enemies of their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-09 J. Menezes , B. Ferreira , E. Rangel , B. Moura

Epidemic models study the spread of an undesired agent through a population, be it infectious diseases through a country, misinformation in online social media, or pests infesting a region. In combating these epidemics, we rely neither on…

We use evolutionary game theory to examine how conflict-averse centrism can facilitate authoritarian success in polarized political conflicts. Such conflicts are often asymmetric: authoritarian actors can employ norm-breaking or coercive…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-11 Chad M. Topaz

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the mechanism for the interplay of deterministic and stochastic models for contagious diseases. Deterministic models for contagious diseases are prone to predict global stability. Small natural birth…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-17 Torsten Lindström

Pathogens drive changes in host immune systems that in turn exert pressure for pathogens to evolve. Quantifying and understanding this constant coevolutionary process has clear practical global health implications. Yet its relatively easier…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-09 Thierry Mora , Aleksandra Walczak

We argue that immune system is an adaptive complex system. It is shown that it has emergent properties. Its network structure is of the small world network type. The network is of the threshold type, which helps in avoiding autoimmunity. It…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-08 E. Ahmed , A. H. Hashish

For over a century, immunology has masterfully discovered and dissected the components of our immune system, yet its collective behavior remains fundamentally unpredictable. In this perspective, we argue that building on the learnings of…

The dynamics of herd immunity depend crucially on the interaction between collective social behavior and disease transmission, but the role of heterogeneity in this context frequently remains unclear. Here, we dissect this co-evolutionary…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-05 Mehran Noori , Nahid Azimi-Tafreshi , Mohammad Salahshour

Long-term evolutionary processes can strongly influence common-pool resource conservation by generating new traits or behaviours that modify the feedback between population strategies and the resource state. Here we develop an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Prosanta Mandal , Suman Chakraborty , Vaibhav Madhok , Sagar Chakraborty

Disease outbreaks force the governments to rapid decisions to deal with. However, the rapid stream of decision-making could be costly in terms of the democratic representativeness. The aim of the paper is to investigate the trade-off…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-18 A. E. Biondo , G. Brosio , A. Pluchino , R. Zanola
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