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The Scrooge distribution is a probability distribution over the set of pure states of a quantum system. Specifically, it is the distribution that, upon measurement, gives up the least information about the identity of the pure state,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-10-17 William K Wootters

Note: Published now as a chapter in "Handbook of the History and Philosophy of Mathematical Practice" (Springer Nature, editor B. Sriraman, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-19071-2_105-1). The application of mathematical probability theory…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-11-21 Christian Hennig

This paper considers the notion of possible events which are insignificant in probabilistic analysis (i.e. events that have zero probability). The paper discusses the method of modal logic based on "possible worlds" and discusses a…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-11-08 Ben O'Neill

We discuss the definition of quantum probability in the context of "timeless" general--relativistic quantum mechanics. In particular, we study the probability of sequences of events, or multi-event probability. In conventional quantum…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Frank Hellmann , Mauricio Mondragon , Alejandro Perez , Carlo Rovelli

In finite probability theory, events are subsets of the outcome set. Subsets can be represented by 1-dimensional column vectors. By extending the representation of events to two dimensional matrices, we can introduce "superposition events."…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-18 David Ellerman

We tackle the problem of conditioning probabilistic programs on distributions of observable variables. Probabilistic programs are usually conditioned on samples from the joint data distribution, which we refer to as deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang

It is pointed out that the average semi-inclusive particle phase-space density at freeze-out can be determined from the coincidence probability of the events observed in multiparticle production. The method of measurement is described and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Bialas , W. Czyz , K. Zalewski

The Bayesian posterior probability of the true state is stochastically dominated by that same posterior under the probability law of the true state. This generalizes to notions of "optimism" about posterior probabilities.

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-27 Sergiu Hart , Yosef Rinott

Abstract Contextuality is a property of systems of random variables. The identity of a random variable in a system is determined by its joint distribution with all other random variables in the same context. When context changes, a variable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-11-23 Ehtibar Dzhafarov

Information is everywhere in nature which is very uncertain and unpredictable. But information, in itself, is a very ambiguous term. In this cursory write-up, we attempt to understand the formal meaning of information by quantifying…

Classical Physics · Physics 2024-09-20 Sagar Chakraborty

Several authors have explained that the likelihood ratio measures the strength of the evidence represented by observations in statistical problems. This idea works fine when the goal is to evaluate the strength of the available evidence for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Paul-Andre Monney

An a priori semimeasure (also known as "algorithmic probability" or "the Solomonoff prior" in the context of inductive inference) is defined as the transformation, by a given universal monotone Turing machine, of the uniform measure on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Tom F. Sterkenburg

The additivity of classical probabilities is only the first in a hierarchy of possible sum-rules, each of which implies its successor. The first and most restrictive sum-rule of the hierarchy yields measure-theory in the Kolmogorov sense,…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-10-22 Rafael D. Sorkin

The term {\em complexity} is used informally both as a quality and as a quantity. As a quality, complexity has something to do with our ability to understand a system or object -- we understand simple systems, but not complex ones. On…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-19 Russell K. Standish

The meaning of randomization tests has become obscure in statistics education and practice over the last century. This article makes a fresh attempt at rectifying this core concept of statistics. A new term -- "quasi-randomization test" --…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Yao Zhang , Qingyuan Zhao

The notion of microscopic state of the system at a given moment of time as a point in the phase space as well as a notion of trajectory is widely used in classical mechanics. However, it does not have an immediate physical meaning, since…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-04-24 A. S. Trushechkin , I. V. Volovich

We show that modularity, a quantity introduced in the study of networked systems, can be generalized and used in the clustering problem as an indicator for the quality of the solution. The introduction of this measure arises very naturally…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Angelini , D. Marinazzo , M. Pellicoro , S. Stramaglia

The study of associations and their causal explanations is a central research activity whose methodology varies tremendously across fields. Even within specialized subfields, comparisons across textbooks and journals reveals that the basics…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Sander Greenland

Probability theory is fundamental for modeling uncertainty, with traditional probabilities being real and non-negative. Complex probability extends this concept by allowing complex-valued probabilities, opening new avenues for analysis in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Chan Li , Hejun Xu , Zhu Cao

The true dynamical randomness is obtained as a natural fundamental property of deterministic quantum systems. It provides quantum chaos passing to the classical dynamical chaos under the ordinary semiclassical transition, which extends the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Andrei P. Kirilyuk
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