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We develop a formalism to describe the discrete-time dynamics of systems containing an arbitrary number of interacting species. The individual-based model, which forms our starting point, is described by a Markov chain, which in the limit…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-06 César Parra-Rojas , Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Rui Luo , Weinan Zhang , Xiaojun Xu , Jun Wang

"Noise-induced volatility" refers to a phenomenon of increased level of fluctuations in the collective dynamics of bistable units in the presence of a rapidly varying external signal, and intermediate noise levels. The archetypical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-02-01 Georges Harras , Claudio J. Tessone , Didier Sornette

We consider a slow passage through a point of loss of stability. If the passage is sufficiently slow, the dynamics are controlled by additive random disturbances, even if they are extremely small. We derive expressions for the `exit value'…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 G. D. Lythe

An efficient technique is introduced for model inference of complex nonlinear dynamical systems driven by noise. The technique does not require extensive global optimization, provides optimal compensation for noise-induced errors and is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy , D. G. Luchinsky

Stop-and-go waves are commonly observed in traffic and pedestrian flows. In traffic theory they are described by phase transitions of metastable models. The self-organization phenomenon occurs due to inertia mechanisms but requires fine…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-02 Antoine Tordeux , Andreas Schadschneider , Sylvain Lassarre

We consider the statics and dynamics of a single particle trapped in a one-dimensional harmonic potential, and subjected to a driving noise with memory, that is represented by a resetting stochastic process. The finite memory of this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-18 Mathis Gueneau , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

Causal ordering of key events in the cell cycle is essential for proper functioning of an organism. Yet, it remains a mystery how a specific temporal program of events is maintained despite ineluctable stochasticity in the biochemical…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-30 Farshid Jafarpour , Michael Vennettilli , Srividya Iyer-Biswas

A new method is introduced to obtain a strong signal by the interference of weak signals in noisy channels. The method is based on the interference of 1/f noise from parallel channels. One realization of stochastic interference is the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 K. Svozil , D. Felix , K. Ehrenberger

We investigate the stochastic resonance phenomenon in a physical system based on a tunnel diode. The experimental control parameters are set to allow the control of the frequency and amplitude of the deterministic modulating signal over an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rosario N. Mantegna , Bernardo Spagnolo , Marco Trapanese

We study the role played by noise on the QW introduced in [1], a 1D model that is inspired by a two particle interacting QW. The noise is introduced by a random change in the value of the phase during the evolution, from a constant…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-03-29 Ivan Marquez-Martin , Giuseppe Di Molfetta , Armando Perez

We consider stochastic dynamical systems defined by differential equations with a uniform random time delay. The latter equations are shown to be equivalent to deterministic higher-order differential equations: for an $n$-th order equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-11 P. L. Krapivsky , J. M. Luck , K. Mallick

Stochastic differential equations describe well many physical, biological and sociological systems, despite the simplification often made in their derivation. Here the usage of simple stochastic differential equations to characterize and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-27 Daniel Pumpe , Maksim Greiner , Ewald Müller , Torsten A. Enßlin

Stochastic thermodynamics is formulated for variables that are odd under time reversal. The invariance under spatial rotation of the collision rates due to the isotropy of the heat bath is shown to be a crucial ingredient. An alternative…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-29 C. Van den Broeck , R. Toral

We have analyzed the phenomenon of stochastic resonance in a system driven by non Gaussian noises. We have considered both white and colored noises. In the latter case we have obtained a consistent Markovian approximation that enables us to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. A. Fuentes , C. Tessone , H. S. Wio , R. Toral

Stochastic volatility models that treat the variance of a time series as a stochastic process have proven to be important tools for analyzing dynamic variability. Current methods for fitting and conducting inference on stochastic volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Gehui Zhang , Gong Tang , Lori Scott , Robert T Krafty

Nearly-elastic model systems with one or two degrees of freedom are considered: the system is undergoing a small loss of energy in each collision with the "wall". We show that instabilities in this purely deterministic system lead to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Mark Freidlin , Wenqing Hu

We show that scaling arguments are very useful to analyze the dynamics of periodically modulated noisy systems. Information about the behavior of the relevant quantities, such as the signal-to-noise ratio, upon variations of the noise…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-15 J. M. G. Vilar , J. M. Rubí

The ability to uncover preferences from choices is fundamental for both positive economics and welfare analysis. Overwhelming evidence shows that choice is stochastic, which has given rise to random utility models as the dominant paradigm…

General Economics · Economics 2018-11-07 Carlos Alos-Ferrer , Ernst Fehr , Nick Netzer

Resonance, defined as the oscillation of a system when the temporal frequency of an external stimulus matches a natural frequency of the system, is important in both fundamental physics and applied disciplines. However, the spatial…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2016-06-16 Zhenyu Wang , Mingzhe Li , Ruifang Wang