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Let $S_n$ be partial sums of an i.i.d. sequence $\{X_i\}$. We assume that $\mathbb{E} X_1 <0$ and $\mathbb{P}[X_1>0]>0$. In this paper we study the first passage time $$ \tau_u = \inf\{n:\; S_n > u\}. $$ The classical Cram\'er's estimate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Dariusz Buraczewski , Mariusz Maślanka

We consider stochastic control systems affected by a fast mean reverting volatility $Y(t)$ driven by a pure jump L\'evy process. Motivated by a large literature on financial models, we assume that $Y(t)$ evolves at a faster time scale…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Martino Bardi , Annalisa Cesaroni , Andrea Scotti

A schematic model of over-damped motion is presented which permits one to calculate the mean first passage time for nuclear fission. Its asymptotic value may exceed considerably the lifetime suggested by Kramers rate formula, which applies…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-10 H. Hofmann , A. G. Magner

First-passage times provide invaluable insight into fundamental properties of stochastic processes. Yet, various forms of gating mask first-passage times and differentiate them from actual detection times. For instance, imperfect conditions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-27 Aanjaneya Kumar , Yuval Scher , Shlomi Reuveni , M. S. Santhanam

In this paper, we study random walks on a small-world scale-free network, also called as pseudofractal scale-free web (PSFW), and analyze the volatilities of first passage time (FPT) and first return time (FRT) by using the variance and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-21 Junhao Peng

Many biological, social, and communication systems can be modeled by ``searchers'' moving through a complex network. For example, intracellular cargo is transported on tubular networks, news and rumors spread through online social networks,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-04 Sean D Lawley

We study the asymptotic tail probability of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for a random walk conditioned to return to zero, where the increments of the random walk have finite variance. Typically, the asymptotic tail behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Fiona Sloothaak , Vitali Wachtel , Bert Zwart

In this paper we study first-passge percolation models on Delaunay triangulations. We show a sufficient condition to ensure that the asymptotic value of the rescaled first-passage time, called the time constant, is strictly positive and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-15 Leandro P. R. Pimentel

For a stochastic process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ we establish conditions under which the inverse first-passage time problem has a solution for any random variable $\xi >0$. For Markov processes we give additional conditions under which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-19 Alexander Klump , Mladen Savov

In this paper, we consider the problem of mean first-passage time (MFPT) in quantum mechanics; the MFPT is the average time of the transition from a given initial state, passing through some intermediate states, to a given final state for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Rong-Tao Qiu , Wu-Sheng Dai , Mi Xie

Motivated by the dynamics of resonant neurons we discuss the properties of the first passage time (FPT) densities for nonmarkovian differentiable random processes. We start from an exact expression for the FPT density in terms of an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 T. Verechtchaguina , I. M. Sokolov , L. Schimansky-Geier

In this paper we explore the life expectancy limits by based on the stochastic modeling of mortality and applying the first exit or hitting time theory of a stochastic process. The main assumption is that the health state or the "vitality",…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-01-11 Christos H Skiadas , Charilaos Skiadas

The paper discusses multivariate self- and cross-exciting processes. We define a class of multivariate point processes via their corresponding stochastic intensity processes that are driven by stochastic jumps. Essentially, there is a jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Heidar Eyjolfsson , Dag Tjøstheim

This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Donggyu Kim , Minseok Shin

We provide a new methodology to simulate the first exit times of a vector of Brownian motions from an orthant. This new approach can be used to simulate the first exit times of dimension higher than two. When at least one Brownian motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Chiu-Yen Kao , Qidi Peng , Henry Schellhorn , Lu Zhu

We develop a comprehensive framework for characterizing fluctuations in quantum transport and nonequilibrium thermodynamics using two complementary approaches: full counting statistics and first-passage times. Focusing on open quantum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-12 Paul Menczel , Christian Flindt , Fredrik Brange , Franco Nori , Clemens Gneiting

The random walk process underlies the description of a large number of real world phenomena. Here we provide the study of random walk processes in time varying networks in the regime of time-scale mixing; i.e. when the network connectivity…

We examine the mean first passage time for a particle driven by highly correlated Gaussian fluctuations to reach one or more predetermined boundaries. We discuss a numerical algorithm to generate power-law correlated fluctuations and apply…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Aldo H. Romero , J. M. Sancho , Katja Lindenberg

Fastest arrival events, where the first among many diffusing particles reaches a target, are central in triggering signal initiation in molecular stochastic systems. Classical approaches to simulate such events rely on full trajectory…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Emmanuel Akame Mfoumou , David Holcman

We study the statistical properties of first-passage time functionals of a one dimensional Brownian motion in the presence of stochastic resetting. A first-passage functional is defined as $V=\int_0^{t_f} Z[x(\tau)]$ where $t_f$ is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-08 Prashant Singh , Arnab Pal