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The Detrending Moving Average (DMA) algorithm has been widely used in its several variants for characterizing long-range correlations of random signals and sets (one-dimensional sequences or high-dimensional arrays) either over time or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-01 Anna Carbone , Ken Kiyono

The detrending moving average (DMA) algorithm is a widely used technique to quantify the long-term correlations of non-stationary time series and the long-range correlations of fractal surfaces, which contains a parameter $\theta$…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-03 Gao-Feng Gu , Wei-Xing Zhou

Statistics of the Hurst scaling exponents calculated with the use of two methods: recently introduced Detrended Moving Average Analysis(DMA) and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA)are compared. Analysis is done for artificial stochastic…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 D. Grech , Z. Mazur

We make the comparative study of scaling range properties for detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), detrended moving average analysis (DMA) and recently proposed new technique called modified detrended moving average analysis (MDMA). Basic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-05 Dariusz Grech , Zygmunt Mazur

In the paper, we introduce a new measure of correlation between possibly non-stationary series. As the measure is based on the detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis (DMCA), we label it as the DMCA coefficient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-27 Ladislav Kristoufek

We extend our previous study of scaling range properties done for detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) \cite{former_paper} to other techniques of fluctuation analysis (FA). The new technique called Modified Detrended Moving Average Analysis…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-12-21 Grech Dariusz , Mazur Zygmunt

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and detrended moving average (DMA) are two scaling analysis methods designed to quantify correlations in noisy non-stationary signals. We systematically study the performance of different variants of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 L. Xu , P. Ch. Ivanov , K. Hu , Z. Chen , A. Carbone , H. E. Stanley

Notwithstanding the significant efforts to develop estimators of long-range correlations (LRC) and to compare their performance, no clear consensus exists on what is the best method and under which conditions. In addition, synthetic tests…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-11-22 Ying-Hui Shao , Gao Feng Gu , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou , Didier Sornette

Highly accurate estimates of the urban fractal dimension $D_f$ are obtained by implementing the Detrended Moving Average algorithm (DMA) on WorldView2 satellite high-resolution multi-spectral images covering the largest European cities.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-09-24 Anna Carbone , Pietro Murialdo , Alessandra Pieroni , Carina Toxqui-Quitl

We present a general framework of detrending methods of fluctuation analysis of which detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is one prominent example. Another more recently introduced method is detrending moving average (DMA). Both methods…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-03 Marc Höll , Ken Kiyono , Holger Kantz

We examine several recently suggested methods for the detection of long-range correlations in data series based on similar ideas as the well-established Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA). In particular, we present a detailed comparison…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Amir Bashan , Ronny Bartsch , Jan W. Kantelhardt , Shlomo Havlin

I--MR charts commonly estimate the process standard deviation $\sigma$ via the span-2 average moving range divided by the unbiasing constant $d_2$; unlike the unbiased sample standard deviation ($S/c_4$), this estimator depends on ordering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Andrew T. Karl

The detrending moving average (DMA) algorithm is one of the best performing methods to quantify the long-term correlations in nonstationary time series. Many long-term correlated time series in real systems contain various trends. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-08-04 Ying-Hui Shao , Gao-Feng Gu , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

We introduce Pairwise Distance-Diffusion Analysis (PDDA), a geometric framework for estimating the Hurst exponent from distance plots of long-memory stochastic processes. A single construction yields two complementary routes: R/S-PDDA, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Diogo C. Soriano , Frederique Vanheusden , Slawomir J. Nasuto

Nonstationarity of real-life time series requires model adaptation. In classical approaches like ARMA-ARCH there is assumed some arbitrarily chosen dependence type. To avoid their bias, we will focus on novel more agnostic approach: moving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-09 Jarek Duda

Dynamic model averaging (DMA) combines the forecasts of a large number of dynamic linear models (DLMs) to predict the future value of a time series. The performance of DMA critically depends on the appropriate choice of two forgetting…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-11 Alisa Yusupova , Nicos G. Pavlidis , Efthymios G. Pavlidis

We examine the scaling regime for the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) - the most popular method used to detect the presence of long memory in data and the fractal structure of time series. First, the scaling range for DFA is studied…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Dariusz Grech , Zygmunt Mazur

Interest in continuous-time processes has increased rapidly in recent years, largely because of high-frequency data available in many applications. We develop a method for estimating the kernel function $g$ of a second-order stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Peter Brockwell , Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Claudia Klüppelberg

Since the middle of the 90's, multifractional processes have been introduced for overcoming some limitations of the classical Fractional Brownian Motion model. In their context, the Hurst parameter becomes a Holder continuous function H(?)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Antoine Ayache , Julien Hamonier

Exponential moving average (EMA) has recently gained significant popularity in training modern deep learning models, especially diffusion-based generative models. However, there have been few theoretical results explaining the effectiveness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Xuheng Li , Quanquan Gu
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