English

Detrending moving-average cross-correlation coefficient: Measuring cross-correlations between non-stationary series

Statistical Finance 2014-03-27 v1

Abstract

In the paper, we introduce a new measure of correlation between possibly non-stationary series. As the measure is based on the detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis (DMCA), we label it as the DMCA coefficient ρDMCA(λ)\rho_{DMCA}(\lambda) with a moving average window length λ\lambda. We analytically show that the coefficient ranges between -1 and 1 as a standard correlation does. In the simulation study, we show that the values of ρDMCA(λ)\rho_{DMCA}(\lambda) very well correspond to the true correlation between the analyzed series regardless the (non-)stationarity level. Dependence of the newly proposed measure on other parameters -- correlation level, moving average window length and time series length -- is discussed as well.

Cite

@article{arxiv.1311.0657,
  title  = {Detrending moving-average cross-correlation coefficient: Measuring cross-correlations between non-stationary series},
  author = {Ladislav Kristoufek},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1311.0657},
  year   = {2014}
}

Comments

8 pages, 4 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-22T02:00:21.032Z