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A theory which describes the share price evolution at financial markets as a continuous-time random walk has been generalized in order to take into account the dependence of waiting times t on price returns x. A joint probability density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

A new model for stock price fluctuations is proposed, based upon an analogy with the motion of tracers in Gaussian random fields, as used in turbulent dispersion models and in studies of transport in dynamically disordered media. Analytical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 James P. Gleeson

We study the average price impact of a single trade executed in the NYSE. After appropriate averaging and rescaling, the data for the 1000 most highly capitalized stocks collapse onto a single function, giving average price shift as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabrizio Lillo , J. Doyne Farmer , Rosario N. Mantegna

We propose and study a simple model of dynamical redistribution of capital in a diversified portfolio. We consider a hypothetical situation of a portfolio composed of N uncorrelated stocks. Each stock price follows a multiplicative random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Matteo Marsili , Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

In this paper we propose a new model for volatility fluctuations in financial time series. This model relies on a non-stationary gaussian process that exhibits aging behavior. It turns out that its properties, over any finite time interval,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 J. F. Muzy , R. Baile , E. Bacry

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

Lead/lag relationships are an important stylized fact at high frequency. Some assets follow the path of others with a small time lag. We provide indicators to measure this phenomenon using tick-by-tick data. Strongly asymmetric…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-19 Nicolas Huth , Frédéric Abergel

This paper poses a few fundamental questions regarding the attributes of the volume profile of a Limit Order Books stochastic structure by taking into consideration aspects of intraday and interday statistical features, the impact of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-23 Kylie-Anne Richards , Gareth W. Peters , William Dunsmuir

We study a stochastic multiplicative system composed of finite asynchronous elements to describe the wealth evolution in financial markets. We find that the wealth fluctuations or returns of this system can be described by a walk with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Zhi-Feng Huang , Sorin Solomon

A generic model of stochastic autocatalytic dynamics with many degrees of freedom $w_i$ $i=1,...,N$ is studied using computer simulations. The time evolution of the $w_i$'s combines a random multiplicative dynamics $w_i(t+1) = \lambda…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Ofer Malcai , Ofer Biham , Sorin Solomon

In many complex systems, for the activity f(i) of the constituents or nodes i, a power-law relationship was discovered between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average strength of the activity: sigma(i) ~ <f(i)>^alpha; universal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

While the use of volatilities is pervasive throughout finance, our ability to determine the instantaneous volatility of stocks is nascent. Here, we present a method for measuring the temporal behavior of stocks, and show that stock prices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-30 Achilles D. Speliotopoulos

We discuss several models in order to shed light on the origin of power-law distributions and power-law correlations in financial time series. From an empirical point of view, the exponents describing the tails of the price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Complex systems consist of many interacting elements which participate in some dynamical process. The activity of various elements is often different and the fluctuation in the activity of an element grows monotonically with the average…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-04-24 Zoltan Eisler , Imre Bartos , Janos Kertesz

A non-fungible token (NFT) market is a new trading invention based on the blockchain technology which parallels the cryptocurrency market. In the present work we study capitalization, floor price, the number of transactions, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-17 Paweł Szydło , Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

The probability distribution of log-returns for financial time series, sampled at high frequency, is the basis for any further developments in quantitative finance. In this letter, we present experimental results based on a large set of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-11 Laurent Schoeffel

We present a dynamical many-body theory of money in which the value of money is a time dependent ``strategic variable'' that is chosen by the individual agents. The value of money in equilibrium is not fixed by the equations, and thus…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-12 Per Bak , Simon F. Norrelykke , Martin Shubik

We exploit a continuous time random walk description of stock prices to obtain a fast and accurate evaluation of their volatility from intraday data. We show that financial markets are usefully described as open physical systems. Indeed we…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rosario Bartiromo

We empirically analyze the most volatile component of the electricity price time series from two North-American wholesale electricity markets. We show that these time series exhibit fluctuations which are not described by a Brownian Motion,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-23 Francesco Caravelli , James Requeima , Cozmin Ududec , Ali Ashtari , Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

We study the temporal evolution of the holding-time distribution of bitcoins and find that the average distribution of holding-time is a heavy-tailed power law extending from one day to over at least $200$ weeks with an exponent…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-10 Didier Sornette , Yu Zhang