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We analyze tick data of yen-dollar exchange with a focus on its up and down movement. We show that there exists a rather particular conditional probability structure with such high frequency data. This result provides us with evidence to…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Toru Ohira , Naoya Sazuka , Kouhei Marumo , Tokiko Shimizu , Misako Takayasu , Hideki Takayasu

We study the dynamical behavior of high-frequency data from the Korean Stock Price Index (KOSPI) using the movement of returns in Korean financial markets. The dynamical behavior for a binarized series of our models is not completely…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon , Soo Yong Kim , Ki-Ho Chang , Yup Kim

We propose a useful approach for investigating the statistical properties of foreign currency exchange rates. Our approach is based on queueing theory, particularly, the so-called renewal-reward theorem. For the first passage processes of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Jun-ichi Inoue , Naoya Sazuka

We propose a Genetic Programming architecture for the generation of foreign exchange trading strategies. The system's principal features are the evolution of free-form strategies which do not rely on any prior models and the utilization of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Simone Cirillo , Stefan Lloyd , Peter Nordin

This study investigates that a characteristic time scale on an exchange rate market (USD/JPY) is examined for the period of 1998 to 2000. Calculating power spectrum densities for the number of tick quotes per minute and averaging them over…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Aki-Hiro Sato

We investigated distributions of short term price trends for high frequency stock market data. A number of trends as a function of their lengths was measured. We found that such a distribution does not fit to results following from an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Paweł Sieczka , Janusz A. Hołyst

We analyze high-resolution foreign exchange data consisting of 20 million data points of USD-JPY for 13 years to report firm statistical laws in distributions and correlations of exchange rate fluctuations. A conditional probability density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Takayuki Mizuno , Shoko Kurihara , Misako Takayasu , Hideki Takayasu

Using frequency distributions of daily closing price time series of several financial market indexes, we investigate whether the bias away from an equiprobable sequence distribution found in the data, predicted by algorithmic information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-17 Hector Zenil , Jean-Paul Delahaye

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

Markets efficiency implies that the stock returns are intrinsically unpredictable, a property that makes markets comparable to random number generators. We present a novel methodology to investigate ultra-high frequency financial data and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Silvia Onofri , Andrey Shternshis , Stefano Marmi

Universal features in stock markets and their derivative markets are studied by means of probability distributions in internal rates of return on buy and sell transaction pairs. Unlike the stylized facts in log normalized returns, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Lukas Pichl , Taisei Kaizoji , Takuya Yamano

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

Synchronization is a phenomenon in which a pair of fluctuations adjust their rhythms when interacting with each other. We measure the degree of synchronization between the U.S. dollar (USD) and euro exchange rates and between the USD and…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-09 Makoto Muto , Yoshitaka Saiki

A theory which describes the share price evolution at financial markets as a continuous-time random walk has been generalized in order to take into account the dependence of waiting times t on price returns x. A joint probability density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Przemyslaw Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon

High-frequency financial data of the foreign exchange market (EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/NOK, EUR/SEK, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/NOK, and USD/SEK) are analyzed by utilizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Aki-Hiro Sato

The analysis of high-frequency financial data is often impeded by the presence of noise. This article is motivated by intraday return data in which market microstructure noise appears to be rough, that is, best captured by a continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Guoying Li

Asynchronous trading in high-frequency financial markets introduces significant biases into econometric analysis, distorting risk estimates and leading to suboptimal portfolio decisions. Existing synchronization methods, such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-17 Xinbing Kong , Cheng Liu , Bin Wu

We propose a machine learning-based extension of the classical binomial option pricing model that incorporates key market microstructure effects. Traditional models assume frictionless markets, overlooking empirical features such as bid-ask…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Akash Deep , Chris Monico , W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

Probabilistic artificial neural networks offer intriguing prospects for enabling the uncertainty of artificial intelligence methods to be described explicitly in their function; however, the development of techniques that quantify…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James B. Aimone , William Severa , J. Darby Smith
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