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Statistical inference is often simplified by sample-splitting. This simplification comes at the cost of the introduction of randomness not native to the data. We propose a simple procedure for sequentially aggregating statistics constructed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-18 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano

We present an algorithm for effectively generating binary sequences which would be rated by people as highly likely to have been generated by a random process, such as flipping a fair coin.

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2008-10-05 Yasmine B. Sanderson

Regarding the intraday sequence of high frequency returns of the S&P index as daily realizations of a given stochastic process, we first demonstrate that the scaling properties of the aggregated return distribution can be employed to define…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-16 Fulvio Baldovin , Francesco Camana , Massimiliano Caporin , Michele Caraglio , Attilio L. Stella

We have presented a novel technique of detecting intermittencies in a financial time series of the foreign exchange rate data of U.S.- Euro dollar(US/EUR) using a combination of both statistical and spectral techniques. This has been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 A. N. Sekar Iyengar

An empirical algorithm is used here to study the stochastic and multifractal nature of nonlinear time series. A parameter can be defined to quantitatively measure the deviation of the time series from a Wiener process so that the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-08 Chih-Hao Lin , Chia-Seng Chang , Sai-Ping Li

Cryptocurrency is a form of digital currency using cryptographic techniques in a decentralized system for secure peer-to-peer transactions. It is gaining much popularity over traditional methods of payments because it facilitates a very…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Samyak Jain , Sarthak Johari , Radhakrishnan Delhibabu

This paper presents a new method for conditional probability density simulation. The method is design to work with unstructured data set when data are not characterized by the same covariates yet share common information. Specific examples…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Esteban G. Tabak , Giulio Trigila , Wenjun Zhao

This manuscript reports a stochastic dynamical scenario whose associated stationary probability density function is exactly a previously proposed one to adjust high-frequency traded volume distributions. This dynamical conjecture,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

We present a symmetry analysis of the distribution of variations of different financial indices, by means of a statistical procedure developed by the authors based on a symmetry statistic by Einmahl and Mckeague. We applied this statistical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 C. M. Rodríguez-Martínez , H. F. Coronel-Brizio , A. R. Hernández-Montoya

The possibility to analyze everyday monetary transactions is limited by the scarcity of available data, as this kind of information is usually considered highly sensitive. Present econophysics models are usually employed on presumed random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-01 Dániel Kondor , Márton Pósfai , István Csabai , Gábor Vattay

In this paper, we explore the detection of clusters of stocks that are in synergy in the Indian Stock Market and understand their behaviour in different circumstances. We have based our study on high frequency data for the year 2014. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-11 Charu Sharma , Amber Habib

We study a an optimal high frequency trading problem within a market microstructure model designed to be a good compromise between accuracy and tractability. The stock price is driven by a Markov Renewal Process (MRP), while market orders…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-06 Pietro Fodra , Huyên Pham

In this study, we perform some analysis for the probability distributions in the space of frequency and time variables. However, in the domain of high frequencies, it behaves in such a way as the highly non-linear dynamics. The wavelet…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Tatsuru Kikuchi

Machine learning and AI-assisted trading have attracted growing interest for the past few years. Here, we use this approach to test the hypothesis that the inefficiency of the cryptocurrency market can be exploited to generate abnormal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-09 Laura Alessandretti , Abeer ElBahrawy , Luca Maria Aiello , Andrea Baronchelli

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Adam D. Bull

In the last years efforts in econophysics have been shifted to study how network theory can facilitate understanding of complex financial markets. Main part of these efforts is the study of correlation-based hierarchical networks. This is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Paweł Fiedor

In financial time series there are periods in which the value increases or decreases monotonically. We call those periods elemental trends and study the probability distribution of their duration for the indices DJIA, NASDAQ and IPC. It is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-14 H. F. Coronel-Brizio , A. R. Hernández Montoya , H. R Olivares Sánchez , E. Scalas

In this paper, we provide non-parametric statistical tools to test stationarity of microstructure noise in general hidden Ito semimartingales, and discuss how to measure liquidity risk using high frequency financial data. In particular, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Richard Y. Chen , Per A. Mykland

Firm foundation theory estimates a security's firm fundamental value based on four determinants: expected growth rate, expected dividend payout, the market interest rate and the degree of risk. In contrast, other views of decision-making in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 D. Sornette

Accurate modeling of operational risk is important for a bank and the finance industry as a whole to prepare for potentially catastrophic losses. One approach to modeling operational is the loss distribution approach, which requires a bank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-09 Daniel Hadley , Harry Joe , Natalia Nolde
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