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Statistical physics and dynamical systems theory are key tools to study high-impact geophysical events such as temperature extremes, cyclones, thunderstorms, geomagnetic storms and many more. Despite the intrinsic differences between these…

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

The analysis of execution paths (also known as software traces) collected from a given software product can help in a number of areas including software testing, software maintenance and program comprehension. The lack of a scalable…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2012-05-14 A. V. Miranskyy , M. Davison , M. Reesor , S. S. Murtaza

Many fluctuating systems consist of macroscopic structures in addition to noisy signals. Thus, for this class of fluctuating systems, the scaling behaviors are very complicated. Such phenomena are quite commonly observed in Nature, ranging…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ning-Ning Pang , Hisen-Ching Kao , Wen-Jer Tzeng

We investigate model assessment and selection in a changing environment, by synthesizing datasets from both the current time period and historical epochs. To tackle unknown and potentially arbitrary temporal distribution shift, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

In this article we introduce an entropy-based, scale-dependent centrality that is evaluated as the Shannon entropy of the distribution at time t of a continuous-time random walk. It ranks nodes as a function of the time t, which acts as a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-23 L. R. Schwengber , S. D. Prado , S. R. Dahmen

Linear diffusions are used to model a large number of stochastic processes in physics, including small mechanical and electrical systems perturbed by thermal noise, as well as Brownian particles controlled by electrical and optical forces.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-10 Johan du Buisson , Hugo Touchette

A non--linear diffusion equation is derived by taking into account hopping rates depending on the occupation of next neighbouring sites. There appears additonal repulsive and attractive forces leading to a changed local mobiltiy. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Artz , M. Schulz , S. Trimper

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

Distributed systems, such as biological and artificial neural networks, process information via complex interactions engaging multiple subsystems, resulting in high-order patterns with distinct properties across scales. Investigating how…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Aaron J. Gutknecht , Fernando E. Rosas , David A. Ehrlich , Abdullah Makkeh , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Michael Wibral

Data based detection and quantification of causation in complex, nonlinear dynamical systems is of paramount importance to science, engineering and beyond. Inspired by the widely used methodology in recent years, the cross-map-based…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Xiong Ying , Si-Yang Leng , Huan-Fei Ma , Qing Nie , Ying-Cheng Lai , Wei Lin

In this paper the diffusion entropy technique is applied to investigate the scaling behavior of financial markets. The scaling behaviors of four representative stock markets, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard&Poor 500, Heng Seng Index,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Shi-Min Cai , Pei-Ling Zhou , Hui-Jie Yang , Chun-Xia Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Tao Zhou

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new Monte Carlo method based on importance sampling techniques for the simulation of stochastic differential equations. The main idea is to combine random walk on squares or rectangles methods with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Madalina Deaconu , Antoine Lejay

Progress on modern scientific questions regularly depends on using large-scale datasets to understand complex dynamical systems. An especially challenging case that has grown to prominence with advances in single-cell sequencing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-27 Aden Forrow

Three aspects of time series are uncertainty (dispersion at a given time scale), scaling (time-scale dependence), and intermittency (inclination to change dynamics). Simple measures of dispersion are the mean absolute deviation and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David R. Bickel

A stochastic model for a chemical reaction network is embedded in a one-parameter family of models with species numbers and rate constants scaled by powers of the parameter. A systematic approach is developed for determining appropriate…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Hye-Won Kang , Thomas G. Kurtz

One of the crucial steps in scientific studies is to specify dependent relationships among factors in a system of interest. Given little knowledge of a system, can we characterize the underlying dependent relationships through observation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-12-24 Shohei Hidaka

We study diffusion and mixing in different linear fluid dynamics models, mainly related to incompressible flows. In this setting, mixing is a purely advective effect which causes a transfer of energy to high frequencies. When diffusion is…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-06-11 Michele Coti Zelati , Matias G. Delgadino , Tarek M. Elgindi

Fractal behaviour, i.e. scale invariance in spatio-temporal dynamics, have been found to describe and model many systems in nature, in particular fluid mechanics and geophysical related geometrical objects, like the convective boundary…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-19 S. de Franciscis , J. Pascual-Granado , J. C. Suárez , A. García Hernández , R. Garrido